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Week 21 -2012 | From May 21 to May 25, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 21-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 21-2012 |
LAST |
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Mon |
Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index |
In April, two of the four economic indicator categories improved, causing the overall CFNAI to increase to +0.11, from -0.44 in March. |
0.11 |
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Growth |
The three-month moving average decreased to -0.06 in April, from +0.02 in March. The March monthly index was revised to -0.44 from an initial estimate of -0.29 due to revisions. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
The steady sell off in the stock market mirrors a pullback underway in retail sales. The ICSC index standing at minus 1.7 % in the May 19 week, is down for a fourth week in a row. |
-1.7% W/W |
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Sales and Inventories |
The year-on-year rate is down seven tenths to plus 3.8 %. The report notes little positive effect from favorable weather or from lower gas prices. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
Redbook reports 2.7 % year-on-year same-store sales growth in the May 19 week, a full percentage point drop from the prior week and confirming weakness reported earlier this morning from ICSC-Goldman. |
2.7% Y/Y |
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Sales and Inventories |
ICSC-Goldman describes the week's weather as favorable but not Redbook which calls it cool and wet and which it says hurt apparel sales, lawn & garden sales, and sales of sporting goods. |
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Tue |
exis |
Existing Home sales Report for April came with solid gains, but below expectations. The annual rate of 4.620 million is up 3.4% from March. |
4.62M |
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Real Estate |
The Existing Home sales Report for April may be a little below expectations but the Dow is moving higher in reaction to today's report. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Purchase applications fell 3.0 % in the May 18 week, posting back-to-back declines and offering an early signal of weakness for May home sales. |
3.8% W/W |
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Real Estate |
Refinance applications rose 5.6 %, extending a strong upward trend tied to low interest rates. |
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fhfa |
The FHFA home price index rose an outsized 1.8% in March vs a 0.3% gain and a 0.5% decline in the two prior months. The March headline reading was better than the monthly gain of 0.4% expected by consensus. |
1.8% M/M |
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The FHFA home price index rose a seasonally adjusted 1.8% m/m in March and 2.7% on a year over year basis, after rising just 0.3% m/m in February. |
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Wed |
New Home Sales |
Americans bought more new homes in April, the latest signal that the U.S. housing market is steadily improving. |
343K |
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Real Estate |
The Commerce Department said Wednesday that sales increased 3.3 % in April from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 343,000. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
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N/A |
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Commodity |
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Thu |
HSBC China Flash PMI |
May HSBC flash manufacturing PMI slid to a two month low of 48.7. The index reading in April was 49.3. The manufacturing output index edged upward however, to a reading of 50.5 from 49.3 in April. A reading above 50 signifies growth. New orders and new export orders contracted as did employment. |
48.7 |
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China |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Initial claims for the May 19 week came in at 370,000 vs a revised 372,000 in the prior week and compared with another 370,000 reading the week before. |
370,000 |
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Employment |
The four-week average is down for a third week in a row, also at 370,000 for a roughly 15,000 improvement from late April. |
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Thu |
Durable Goods Orders |
Demand for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rebounded more than expected in May, 0.2%, and a gauge of planned business spending increased, but a cooling global economy suggests the momentum might not be sustained. |
0.2% |
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Manufacturing |
U.S. durable goods orders up but trend, outlook weak. Today's report indicates softening in the manufacturing sector. |
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PMI Mafg Index Flash |
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N/A |
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Thu |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
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N/A |
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Sales and Inventories |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
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N/A |
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Commodity |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
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N/A |
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Government |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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N/A |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
The 30-year fixed mortgage, the most popular mortgage product, dipped slightly to 3.78% from 3.79%. Last year, 30-year loans averaged 4.60%. The new low can save borrowers $48 a month for every $100,000 borrowed. Over a 30-year term, that comes to $17,217 compared to last year. |
3.78%
APR
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Interest Rates |
The 15-year fixed mortgage, which is popular among those looking to refinance, held steady at 3.04%, according to Freddie Mac's survey. That's down from 3.78% a year ago. |
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Fri |
Consumer Sentiment |
The US consumer sentiment is clearly stronger than it's ever been during the recovery. This last reading shows that the rise in optimism is now picking up intensity. |
79.3 |
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Consumer |
The Reuters/University of Michigan index jumped to 79.3, up nearly 3 points from April and up 1.5 points from the mid-month reading. |
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| WEEK 15-2012 ENDING MAY. 25 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 21 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
 |
RESISTANCE 1 |
1,330.25 |
1.39% |
1.35% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,326.25 |
1.08% |
1.04% |
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CLOSE MAR 02 |
1,350.00 |
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OPEN MAR 04 |
1,255.00 |
0.04% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,289.00 |
0.66% |
0.62% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,283.50 |
0.08% |
0.04% |
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