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Week 16 -2012 | From Apr 16 to Apr 20, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 16-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 16-2012 |
Last |
|
Mon |
Retail Sales |
U.S. retail sales for March shot up 0.8%, sharply higher than the forecast, pushing Procter & Gamble up 1.5%, while giving Wal-Mart Stores, the world's largest retailer, a 1.4% boost. |
0.8% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Retail spending in the U.S. rose sharply for the third straight month, up 0.8% in March, (stronger than expected with a gain in autos) as consumers continued to buy wide range of goods and services. |
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Mon |
Empire Estate Mfg Index |
The Empire State index for April dropped markedly to a reading of 6.56 from 20.21 in March. A reading that also was much slower than the 18 projected |
6.56 |
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Manufacturing |
A reading of New York�area manufacturing conditions pointed to a significant slowdown in April, as purchasing managers reported slowing shipment growth and falling unfilled orders. |
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Mon |
Treasury Intal Capital |
Inflow of long-term securities slowed sharply in February, to a net $10.1 billion vs a revised $102.4 billion in January. Foreigners were still solid net buyers of US Treasuries and US equities in the month. |
$10.1B |
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Balance of Payments |
The weakness in February is centered in foreign net selling of US corporate bonds. Japan continued to be a heavy net buyer of Treasurys, hitting a record level of $1.096 trillion in February. |
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Mon |
Housing Market Index |
Home-builder sentiment dropped in April for the first time in seven months, as growing traffic at new-build sites hasn't yet led to sales. |
25 |
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Real Estate |
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index dropped 3 points to a seasonally adjusted 25 in April - on a scale of 0 to 100. |
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Mon |
Business Inventories |
U.S. business inventoriesrose in February and sales increased solidly, according to agovernment report that showed no signs of an unwanted piling upof unsold goods. |
0.6% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Inventories are a key component of gross domestic productchanges and February's report could see economists raising theirfirst-quarter growth estimates, currently around 2.5%. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
Retail sales softened in the April 14 week: ICSC index which fell 1.0%. The year-on-year rate of plus 3.2% is the slowest in three weeks and below the four-week average of 3.7%. |
-1.0% W/W |
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Sales and Inventories |
With the Easter holiday beginning this past Sunday, it is not surprising that seasonal apparel demand slowed in its aftermath, but cooler temperatures also brought a chill to the industry. |
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Tue |
Housing Starts |
U.S. housing starts fall 5.8% to 654,000 in March. Housing starts fell 5.8% last month to an annual rate of 654,000 from a slightly revised 694,000 in February. |
654K |
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Real Estate |
Builders began construction on new U.S. homes at a slower pace in March, but permits jumped to the highest level since September 2008. |
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Tue |
Building Permits |
Permits jumped to the highest level since September 2008. Permits gained 4.5%, following a 4.8% increase in February revised. |
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Real Estate |
Permits up notably-adding to the argument that atypically warm weather played a role in earlier strength in starts. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
National chain store sales fell 1.6% in the first three weeks of January from December, according to Redbook Research's latest indicator, released Tuesday. |
3.0% Y/Y |
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Sales and Inventories |
The Johnson Redbook Index also showed seasonally adjusted sales for the period were up 2.9% from last year, also equaling the target. |
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Tue |
Industrial Production |
Production at U.S. factories dropped in March for the first time in four months as the industry cooled following the strongest surge in three decades. |
0.9% |
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Manufacturing |
Manufacturing, which makes up about 75% of industrial output, decreased 0.2% last month as appliance and furniture makers cut back. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Applications for U.S. home mortgages jumped last week as a drop in interest rates fueled demand for refinancings, though purchases tumbled. |
-2.4% W/W |
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Real Estate |
The MBA said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, rose 6.9% in the week ended April 13. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
U.S. crude stocks jumped 3.9 million barrels in the week to April 13, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed, substantially exceeding analyst expectations. |
56.0 |
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Commodity |
Over the past month, supplies have swelled nearly 22.8 million barrels, the biggest four-week build since February 2009 |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
The number of Americans who filed requests for unemployment insurance last week hovered near a four-month high, defying expectations that applications would begin to recede after a recent spike. |
386,000 |
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Employment |
Weekly jobless claims totaled 386,000, seasonally adjusted, in the week ended April 14. Claims from two weeks ago were revised up to 388,000 from an initial reading of 380,000. |
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Thu |
Existing Home Sales |
Sales of existing homes fell 2.6% in March, the second monthly drop, though the sales pace for the first quarter of 2012 was the best in five years. |
4.48M |
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Real Estate |
The NAR said sales ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.48 million, compared to 4.60 million in February. The NAR had previously estimated sales of 4.59 million in February. |
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Thu |
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
The Philadelphia Fed Index declined more than expected in April coming in at 8.5 in April, over zero to indicate monthly growth but a bit under March's 12.5 level to indicate a slowing rate of growth. |
8.5 |
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Business Activity |
Growth is quite slow for new orders where the index is in the low single digits for a second month in a row as are shipments. |
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Tue |
Leading Indicators |
A gradual improvement in U.S. economic growth is expected past the summer. The LEI index of leading economic indicators increased 0.3% in March, led by the interest rate spread. |
0.3% |
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Business Activity |
Despite relatively weak data on jobs, home building and output in the past month or two, the indicators signal continued economic momentum. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
Thursday driven by an inventory report from the Energy Information Administration that showed another build in U.S. gas stockpiles last week. |
N/A |
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Commodity |
The EIA said gas inventories rose 25 billion cubic feet last week, more than analysts' forecast for a rise of 23 bcf. US GAS: Futures Up Following Steep Inventory-Driven Decline |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
The Fed's balance sheet expanded slightly over the last week as the central bank continued with a plan to adjust its portfolio and stimulate an economy it expects to grow moderately this year. |
N/A |
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Government |
The Fed's asset holdings in the week ended April 18 were $2.878 trillion, compared with $2.870 trillion a week earlier, it said in a weekly report released Thursday. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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N/A |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
15-year FRM this week averaged 3.13% with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.23%. |
3.90%
APR
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Interest Rates |
30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.90% with an average 0.8 point for the week ending April 19, 2012, down from last week when it averaged 3.99%. |
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| WEEK 16-2012 ENDING APR. 20 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
 |
WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 16 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
 |
RESISTANCE 1 |
1,382.00 |
2.22% |
2.15% |
|
RESISTANCE 2 |
1,375.50 |
1.74% |
1.63% |
 |
CLOSE APR 13 |
1,352.00 |
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OPEN APR 15 |
1,355.00 |
0.22% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,339.75 |
-0.91% |
-1.21% |
|
SUPPORT 2 |
1,336.25 |
-1.16% |
-1.49% |
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