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Week 10 -2012 | From Mar 05 to Mar 09, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 10-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 10-2012 |
Last |
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Mon |
Factory Orders |
U.S. factory orders fell in January, 1%, by the most in 15 months after businesses sharply reduced orders for machinery and equipment. |
-1.0% M/M |
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Manufacturing |
The decrease was largely expected after a tax cut expired at the end of last year. Even with the decline, orders have gradually been climbing back to near pre-recession levels |
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Mon |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
The February 2012 ISM Non-manufacturing report shows the overall index increased +0.5 to 57.3%. The NMI is also referred to as the services index, or service sector index. |
57.3
Level |
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Business Actvity |
The Institute for Supply Management�s non-manufacturing index climbed to 57.3 from 56.8 in January. The ISM non-manufacturing survey�s measure of new orders increased to 61.2, a one-year high. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
Weekly same-store sales rose 1.3% in the March 3 week though the year-on-year rate slid sharply to plus 1.7%: reflecting a modest pickup in discount store business. |
1.3% W/W |
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Sales and Inventories |
ICSC-Goldman points to cross currents affecting the consumer with the improving economy a plus but high gas prices a negative. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
The Johnson Redbook Index also showed seasonally adjusted sales for the period were up 3% from last year, compared with a 3.3% targeted gain. |
3.0% Y/Y |
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Sales and Inventories |
Redbook: US Retail Sales Up 0.1% In First Week Of March Vs Feb. Redbook said several tornados across the central and southern U.S. hurt retailers� buisiness this weekend. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Mortgage applications decreased 1.2% from one week earlier for the week ending March 2, 2012. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 2.1% from one week earlier. |
-1.2% |
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Real Estate |
The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.� |
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Wed |
ADP Employment Report |
The ADP National Employment Report showed an increase of 216,000 in the workforce. February�s report showed that employment has continued to grow in the US economy. |
216,000 Jobs |
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Employment |
Analysts had expected an increase of between 215,000 in employment in February. The results Followed January�s numbers which showed an increase of around 170,000 in employment. |
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Wed |
Productivity and Costs |
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 0.9% annual rate during the fourth quarter of 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. |
2.8% ULC |
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Business Actvity |
The gain in productivity reflects increases of 3.7% in output and 2.7% in hours worked. Productivity gains continue but at a modest pace. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
US commercial crude inventories rose by 800,000 barrels last week, bringing the total US commercial crude inventory to 345.7 million barrels. |
0.8M Barrels |
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Commodity |
Higher inventories and the decline in gasoline supplied indicate demand continues to fall in the US. The price of fuel is climbing and demand for fuel is falling. |
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Wed |
Consumer Credit |
Consumer credit expanded sharply in January in a generally positive sign for the economy as people borrowed money to buy cars and go to school. |
$17.8B |
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Consumer |
Total consumer credit grew by $17.776 billion in January, which was above the $10.0 billion increase that was expected by analysts. |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Applications for unemployment insurance payments increased by 8,000 in the week ended March 3. After three months of improvement from the 400,000 area to the 350,000 area. |
362,000 claims |
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Employment |
The rate of firings indicates companies have grown more comfortable with headcounts and could take on additional employees when demand picks up. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
Natural gas in storage fell 80 billion cubic feet in the March 2 week to 2,433 billion cubic feet . A withdrawal of 85 bcf was expected. |
-80bcf |
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Commodity |
The amount of natural gas in storage in the U.S. fell 80 bcf to 2.433 trillion cubic feet last week: demand will remain weak. At the same time, supplies have stayed well above year-ago levels. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
The Fed's balance sheet shrank sharply in the latest week but it was mostly due to improved financial conditions in Europe. |
$-41.0B |
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Government |
For the March 7 week, the Fed's balance sheet shrank $41.0 billion after dropping $7.1 billion the week before. The decline was led by a $36.4 billion decrease in central bank liquidity swaps. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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$-3.7B |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
The mortgage giant said that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 3.88% for the week ending March 8, down from last week' s 3.90%. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.88%. |
3.88%
APR |
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Interest Rates |
The 15-year FRM dropped to a new record low of 3.13%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.15%. |
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Fri |
Employment Situation |
Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.3%. Payroll jobs in February grew 227,000 after gaining 284,000 in January. |
8.3% Rate |
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Employment |
Employment rose in professional and businesses services, health care and social assistance, leisure and hospitality, manufacturing, and mining. |
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Fri |
U.S. Trade Balance |
The U.S. trade deficit surged to the widest imbalance in more than three years in January as imports hit an all-time high, reflecting big demand for foreign-made cars, computers and food products. |
$-52.6B |
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Balance of Payments |
The January trade deficit widened to $52.6 billion, the biggest gap since October 2008. Imports rose 2.1% to a record $233.4 billion. Exports were up a smaller 1.4% to $180.8 billion. |
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Fri |
Wholesale Trade |
The stock-to-sales ratio is unchanged at a very efficient 1.15 and the wholesale inventories continue to trend lower relative to sales, a trend that's more positively pronounced in the factory sector. |
0.4% |
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Sales and Inventories |
January was a soft month for the wholesale sector where inventories were at 0.4%. Remember that Wholesale inventories rose 1.0% in December. |
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| WEEK 10-2012 ENDING MAR. 09 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 10 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
 |
RESISTANCE 1 |
1,367.00 |
1.33% |
1.59% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,361.50 |
0.93% |
1.15% |
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CLOSE MAR 02 |
1,349.00 |
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OPEN MAR 04 |
1,347.00 |
-0.15% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,336.25 |
-0.95% |
-0.86% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,320.00 |
-2.15% |
-2.15% |
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