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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Retail sales measure the total receipts at stores that sell durable and nondurable goods. Analysts use the data to help track consumer spending trends and forecast the direction and magnitude of future spending..→ Read more
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1. Retail Sales (1 of 6)
1. Retail Sales Y/Y (1 of 6)
2. Business Inventories (2 of 6)
3. Wholesale Trade Pre (3 of 6)
4. Wholesale Trade Adv (4 of 6)
5. Retail inventories (5 of 6)
6. E-Commerce (6 of 6)
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→ Big Chart |
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Consumer Spending is related to Retail Sales and includes food and services |
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Big Chart | Large Data |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Category | 6 Slides |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Release Schedule | 2026 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2026 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
| Release | Week |
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| Release | Date |
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| Release | Day |
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| Prior |
0.6% |
0.0% |
... |
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| Prior Revised |
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| CONSENSUS |
0.4% |
... |
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| Consensus Low |
0.2% |
... |
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| Consensus High |
0.6% |
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| RETAIL SALES |
0.0% |
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| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-25 |
Jan-26 |
Feb-26 |
Mar-26 |
Apr-26 |
May-26 |
Jun-26 |
Jul-26 |
Aug-26 |
Sep-26 |
Oct-26 |
Nov-26 |
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Release Schedule | 2025 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2025 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
| Release | Week |
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| Release | Date |
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| Release | Day |
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| Prior |
0.7% |
0.4% |
-0.9% |
0.2% |
1.4% |
0.1% |
-0.9% |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| Prior Revised |
0.8% |
0.7% |
-1.2% |
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1.7% |
-0.1% |
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0.9% |
0.6% |
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0.1% |
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| CONSENSUS |
0.5% |
-0.1% |
0.7% |
1.4% |
0.1% |
-0.6% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
... |
| Consensus Low |
0.3% |
1.0% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
-0.4% |
-1.2% |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
... |
| Consensus High |
0.7% |
0.4% |
1.0% |
2.0% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
1.0% |
0.4% |
0.6% |
0.4% |
... |
| RETAIL SALES |
0.4% |
-0.9% |
0.2% |
1.4% |
0.1% |
-0.9% |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.6% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.6% |
| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-24 |
Jan-25 |
Feb-25 |
Mar-25 |
Apr-25 |
May-25 |
Jun-25 |
Jul-25 |
Aug-25 |
Sep-25 |
Oct-25 |
Nov-25 |
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Release Schedule | 2024 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2024 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
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| Release | Date |
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| Prior |
0.3% |
0.6% |
-0.8% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Prior Revised |
... |
0.4% |
-1.1% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
-0.2% |
0.3% |
-0.2% |
1.1% |
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0.8% |
0.5% |
| CONSENSUS |
0.4% |
-0.1% |
0.7% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
-0.3% |
0.3% |
-0.3% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
| Consensus Low |
0.0% |
-0.7% |
0.2% |
-0.2% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
-0.6% |
0.0% |
-0.6% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
| Consensus High |
0.6% |
0.3% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.3% |
0.9% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
1.0% |
| RETAIL SALES |
0.6% |
-0.8% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.7% |
| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-23 |
Jan-24 |
Feb-24 |
Mar-24 |
Apr-24 |
May-24 |
Jun-24 |
Jul-24 |
Aug-24 |
Sep-24 |
Oct-24 |
Nov-24 |
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Release Schedule | 2023 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2023 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
| Release | Week |
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| Release | Date |
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| Release | Day |
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| Prior |
-0.6% |
-1.1% |
3.0% |
-0.4% |
-1.0% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
-0.1% |
| Prior Revised |
-1.0% |
No |
3.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.7% |
No |
0.5% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.8% |
0.9% |
-0.2% |
| CONSENSUS |
-0.8% |
1.7% |
-0.3% |
-0.4% |
0.7% |
-0.1% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
-0.3% |
-0.1% |
| Consensus Low |
-1.5% |
0.3% |
-1.2% |
-0.9% |
0.4% |
-1.0% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
-0.3% |
-0.1% |
-0.6% |
-0.3% |
| Consensus High |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.6% |
0.2% |
1.2% |
0.3% |
0.8% |
0.5% |
0.7% |
0.5% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
| RETAIL SALES |
-1.1% |
3.0% |
-0.4% |
-1.0% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
-0.1% |
0.3% |
| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-22 |
Jan-23 |
Feb-23 |
Mar-23 |
Apr-23 |
May-23 |
Jun-23 |
Jul-23 |
Aug-23 |
Sep-23 |
Oct-23 |
Nov-23 |
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Release Schedule | 2022 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2022 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
| Release | Week |
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| Release | Date |
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| Release | Day |
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| Prior |
0.3% |
-1.9% |
3.8% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.9% |
-0.3% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
1.3% |
| Prior Revised |
0.2% |
-2.5% |
4.9% |
0.8% |
1.4% |
0.7% |
-0.1% |
0.8% |
-0.4% |
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| CONSENSUS |
0.0% |
2.0% |
0.4% |
0.6% |
0.8% |
0.1% |
0.9% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
... |
1.0% |
-0.2% |
| Consensus Low |
-0.6% |
0.9% |
-0.4% |
-0.3% |
0.4% |
-1.1% |
0.3% |
-0.2% |
-0.4% |
... |
0.4% |
-1.1% |
| Consensus High |
0.7% |
5.5% |
1.0% |
2.2% |
2.0% |
0.4% |
1.6% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
... |
2.0% |
0.4% |
| RETAIL SALES |
-1.9% |
3.8% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.9% |
-0.3% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
... |
1.3% |
-0.6% |
| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-21 |
Jan-22 |
Feb-22 |
Mar-22 |
Apr-22 |
May-22 |
Jun-22 |
Jul-22 |
Aug-22 |
Sep-22 |
Oct-22 |
Nov-22 |
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Release Schedule | 2021 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| SCHEDULE 2021 |
No 1 |
No 2 |
No 3 |
No 4 |
No 5 |
No 6 |
No 7 |
No 8 |
No 9 |
No 10 |
No 11 |
No 12 |
| Release | Week |
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| Prior |
0.3% |
-0.7% |
5.3% |
-3.0% |
9.8% |
0.0% |
-1.3% |
0.6% |
-1.1% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
1.7% |
| Prior Revised |
0.4% |
-1.0% |
7.6% |
-2.7% |
10.7% |
0.9% |
-1.7% |
0.7% |
2.0% |
0.9% |
0.8% |
1.8% |
| CONSENSUS |
-0.7% |
1.1% |
-0.5% |
5.6% |
1.0% |
-0.5% |
-0.4% |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
-0.2% |
1.0% |
0.8% |
| Consensus Low |
-0.9% |
0.4% |
-2.5% |
3.0% |
-0.1% |
-2.2% |
-2.0% |
-1.5% |
-0.8% |
-0.5% |
0.2% |
0.4% |
| Consensus High |
0.8% |
2.4% |
0.5% |
12.0% |
3.9% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
1.9% |
1.4% |
| RETAIL SALES |
-0.7% |
5.3% |
-3.0% |
9.8% |
0.0% |
-1.3% |
0.6% |
-1.1% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
1.7% |
0.3% |
| RATING |
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| Month For |
Dec-20 |
Jan-21 |
Feb-21 |
Mar-21 |
Apr-21 |
May-21 |
Jun-21 |
Jul-21 |
Aug-21 |
Sep-21 |
Oct-21 |
Nov-21 |
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Legends: |
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Delayed |
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Positive View |
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Negative View |
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Neutral View |
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Non Available |
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Brief News | 2026 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| DATE/WEEK |
HIGHLIGHTS |
FOR |
RETAIL |
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Retail Sales |
No 12 |
... |
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Nov-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 11 |
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Oct-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 10 |
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Sep-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 9 |
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Aug-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 8 |
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Jul-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 7 |
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Jun-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 6 |
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May-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 5 |
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Apr-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 4 |
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Mar-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 3 |
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Feb-2026 |
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Retail Sales |
No 2 |
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Jan-2026 |
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Disappointing holiday season: December retail sales were flat, falling well short of estimate. Retail sales were flat in December following a 0.6% increase in November. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected an increase of 0.4%. On an annual basis, sales rose 2.4%, failing to keep up with inflation, as the consumer price index for December posted a 2.7% increase.Consumer activity slowed sharply for the December holiday shopping season amid a spate of rough weather, tariff impact and persistently higher inflation, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. |
No 1 |
0.0% |
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Dec-2025 |
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Retail Sales Release for Dec. 2025 has been Delayed to Feb 10, 2026 Week 07. The federal government has suspended all data compilation during the shutdown. Government Shutdown. |
No 1 |
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Dec-2025 |
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Brief News | 2025 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| DATE/WEEK |
HIGHLIGHTS |
FOR |
RETAIL |
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Retail Sales |
No 12 |
0.0% |
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Oct-2025 |
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Retail sales increased 0.2% in September, a bit softer than the 0.4% forecast. However, sales excluding autos rose 0.3%, in line with the estimate.the Census Bureau said retail sales increased 0.2% in September, a bit softer than the 0.3% forecast. However, sales excluding autos rose 0.3%, in line with the estimate. Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, increased 4.3% from a year ago, ahead of the 3% CPI rate for the month. |
No 12 |
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Sep-2025 |
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Retail Sales Release for Oct. 2025 has been Delayed. The federal government has suspended all data compilation during the shutdown. Government Shutdown. |
No 11 |
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Oct-2025 |
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Retail Sales Release for Sep. 2025 has been Delayed. The federal government has suspended all data compilation during the shutdown. Government Shutdown. |
No 10 |
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Sep-2025 |
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U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August as consumers bought a range of goods and dined out, but a weakening labor market and rising prices because of tariffs pose a downside risk to continued strength in spending. The third straight month of solid gains in sales reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday is unlikely to prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates on Wednesday, given the widening cracks in the labor market. It could, however, urge caution against aggressive rate cuts, economists said. Retail sales rose 0.6% last month after an upwardly revised 0.6% advance in July, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rising 0.2% following a previously reported 0.5% gain in July. |
No 9 |
0.6% |
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Aug-2025 |
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U.S. retail sales increased solidly in July, supported by strong demand for motor vehicles as well as promotions by Amazon.com and Walmart, though a softening labor market and higher goods prices could curb consumer spending growth in the third quarter. Retail sales increase 0.5% in July 2025, June sales revised up The rise last month together with an upward revision to June's sales data eased some concerns that economic activity was stalling following weak employment growth over the past three months. The report from the Commerce Department and a survey from the University of Michigan on Friday showing consumers' inflation expectations increased in August further dimmed the prospect of an oversized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month. |
No 8 |
0.5% |
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Jul-2025 |
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U.S. retail sales rebounded more than expected in June, suggesting a modest improvement in economic activity and giving the Federal Reserve cover to delay cutting interest rates while it gauges the inflation fallout from import tariffs. Retail sales increase 0.6% in June 2025. That report was reinforced by data from the Labor Department on Thursday that showed first-time applications for unemployment benefits dropped to a three-month low last week, consistent with steady job growth in July. The U.S. central bank is under pressure from President Donald Trump to lower borrowing costs. |
No 7 |
0.6% |
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Jun-2025 |
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Retail sales fall 0.9% in May; second straight monthly drop. U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May, weighed down by a decline in motor vehicle purchases as a rush to beat potential tariff-related price hikes ebbed, but consumer spending remains supported by solid wage growth for now. The largest decline in sales in four months reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday added to moderate job growth last month in suggesting that domestic demand was softening. That was reinforced by other data showing production at factories, outside motor vehicle assembly, decreased in May. |
No 6 |
-0.9% |
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May-2025 |
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Retail sales increase 0.1% in April; March data revised up U.S. retail sales growth slowed sharply in April as the boost from households front-loading motor vehicle purchases ahead of tariffs faded and consumers pulled back on spending elsewhere against the backdrop of an uncertain economic outlook. The apprehension over the economy's prospects, sparked by President Donald Trump's on-again, off-again tariffs policy, was underscored by retail giant Walmart (WMT.N), opens new tab, which on Thursday joined the list of companies, ranging from airlines to auto manufacturers, that have either withdrawn or refrained from giving financial guidance. |
No 5 |
0.1% |
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Apr-2025 |
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Retail sales increase 1.4% in March U.S. retail sales increased by the most in more than two years in March as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and a range of other goods to avoid higher prices from tariffs, likely barely keeping the economy afloat in the first quarter. With the stock market selling off and consumer sentiment tanking amid a darkening economic outlook wrought by President Donald Trump'sconstantly changing tariff policy, the robust sales pace reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday will probably fizzle in the months ahead as consumers hunker down. |
No 4 |
1.4% |
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Mar-2025 |
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Retail sales rise 0.2% in February; January sales revised lower. U.S. retail sales rebounded marginally in February as consumers pulled back on discretionary spending, reinforcing the growing uncertainty over the economy against the backdrop of tariffs and mass firings of federal government workers. Nonetheless, the report from the Commerce Department on Monday suggested that the economy continued to grow in the first quarter, though at a moderate pace. It sketched a picture of a cautious consumer, with sales at restaurants and bars declining by the most in 13 months amid deteriorating sentiment. |
No 3 |
0.2% |
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Feb-2025 |
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US retail sales post biggest drop in nearly two years amid winter freeze. U.S. retail sales dropped by the most in nearly two years in January, likely weighed down by frigid temperatures, wildfires and motor vehicle shortages, suggesting a sharp slowdown in economic growth early in the first quarter. But the larger-than-expected and across the board decline in retail sales reported by the Commerce Department on Friday probably does not reflect a material shift in consumer spending as it also followed four straight months of hefty increases. |
No 2 |
-0.9% |
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Jan-2025 |
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Retail sales rose 0.4% December 2024, below consesus of 0.5%, after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in November, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, advancing 0.6% after a previously reported 0.7% rise in November 2024. Retail sales increased 3.9% year-on-year in December 2024. |
No 1 |
0.4% |
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Dec-2024 |
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Brief News | 2024 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| DATE/WEEK |
HIGHLIGHTS |
FOR |
RETAIL |
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U.S. retail sales rise 0.7% in November, above forecast.U.S. retail sales climb 0.7% in November, above 0.5% forecast. Retail sales minus autos increase 0.2% in November. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in November as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and online merchandise, consistent with strong underlying momentum in the economy as the year winds down. The report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday had no impact on expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates on Wednesday for the third time since the U.S. central bank initiated its policy easing cycle in September. Retail sales increase 0.7% in November, above market expectations for 0.5% gain |
No 12 |
0.7% |
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Nov-2024 |
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Partly reflecting a jump in sales by motor vehicle and parts dealers, the Commerce Department released a report on Friday showing retail sales in the U.S. increased by slightly more than expected in the month of October. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose by 0.4 percent in October after growing by an upwardly revised 0.8 percent in September. Economists had expected retail sales to climb by 0.3 percent compared to the 0.4 percent increase originally reported for the previous month. |
No 11 |
0.4% |
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Oct-2024 |
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American shoppers continue to power the US economy. Spending at US retailers climbed 0.4% in September from the prior month, according to fresh government data released Thursday. That was much stronger than August’s 0.1% gain and was in line with what economists projected in a FactSet poll. Consumer spending makes up about 70% of the US economy, with retail sales comprising a sizable chunk of that. Thursday’s report shows that Americans are still opening their wallets despite years of elevated inflation and interest rates that have only recently begun to come down from a bruising two-decade high. The latest figures on retail spending represent another reassuring sign that America’s economy is nowhere near a recession. |
No 10 |
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Sep-2024 |
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U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in August as a decline in receipts at auto dealerships was more than offset by strength in online purchases, suggesting that the economy remained on solid footing through much of the third quarter. The report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday also showed retail sales were a bit stronger than initially thought in July. It combined with the decline in the unemployment rate last month to push against financial market expectations for a half-percentage-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. U.S. central bank officials started a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday. Retail sales increased 0.1% last month after an upwardly revised 1.1% surge in July, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, falling 0.2% after a previously reported 1.0% jump in July. Estimates ranged from a 0.6% decline to a 0.6% gain. |
No 9 |
0.1% |
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Aug-2024 |
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US retail sales rise more than expected in July. Retail sales in the US soared 1% month-over-month in July 2024, following a downwardly revised 0.2% drop in June and way better than forecasts of a 0.3% gain. It is the biggest increase since January 2023, with sales at motor vehicle and part dealers rising the most (3.6%), followed by sales at electronics and appliance stores (1.6%). U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in July, which could help to allay financial market fears of a sharp economic slowdown that were fanned by a jump in the unemployment rate. Retail sales increased 1.0% last month after a downwardly revised 0.2% drop in June, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, advancing 0.3% after previously being reported as unchanged. |
No 8 |
1.0% |
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Jul-2024 |
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US retail sales report showcases consumer, economic resilience. - U.S. retail sales were unchanged in June as a drop in receipts at auto dealerships was offset by broad strength elsewhere, a display of consumer resilience that bolstered economic growth prospects for the second quarter. The better-than-expected report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday also showed sales in May were higher than initially estimated. It did not change expectations that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates in September amid cooling inflation and helped to assuage fears of a sharp slowdown in the economy. Retail sales unchanged in June. May retail sales gain revised up to 0.3% from 0.1%. Core retail sales surge 0.9%; May data unrevised. |
No 7 |
0.0% |
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Jun-2024 |
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US retail sales tepid in May; manufacturing production surges. Retail sales gain 0.1% in May; April sales revised down. Core retail sales rise 0.4%; April sales revised lower. Manufacturing production surges 0.9%. U.S. retail sales barely rose in May and data for the prior month was revised considerably lower, suggesting that economic activity remained lackluster in the second quarter. The smaller-than-expected increase in retail sales reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, however, likely exaggerates the slowdown in consumer spending. Part of the decline in sales was because of lower gasoline prices, which weighed on receipts at service stations. |
No 6 |
0.1% |
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May-2024 |
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Retail sales disappoint. Consumers apparently still felt the pinch of higher prices for the month. The advance estimate for retail sales in April showed no change on the month after increasing a downwardly revised 0.6% in March. Sales, however, were up 3% from a year ago. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2%, in line with the Dow Jones estimate. A 1.2% decline in online receipts held the sales figure back, as did a 0.9% slide in sporting goods and related stores, while motor vehicles and parts dealers posted a 0.8% decrease. |
No 5 |
0.0% |
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Apr-2024 |
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Strong US retail sales boost first-quarter growth estimates. Retail sales increase 0.7% in March. Core retail sales jump 1.1%; February sales revised up.Business inventories rise 0.4% in February..Rising inflation in March didn’t deter consumers, who continued shopping at a more rapid pace than anticipated, the Commerce Department reported Monday. Retail sales increased 0.7% for the month, considerably faster than the Dow Jones consensus forecast for a 0.3% rise though below the upwardly revised 0.9% in February, according to Census Bureau data that is adjusted for seasonality but not for inflation. |
No 4 |
0.7% |
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Mar-2024 |
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Retail shows rebound. On the retail sales side, the data indicated that consumers kept ahead of CPI inflation, which increased 0.4% on the month, though sales were still sluggish. Excluding auto, retail sales rose 0.3%, one-tenth of a percentage point below expectations. Motor vehicle parts and dealers saw an increase of 1.6%, second only to the 2.2% gain for building material and garden centers on the month. Despite slumping prices, gasoline stations reported an increase of 0.9%. Electronics and appliance sales rose 1.5% while miscellaneous store sales climbed 0.6% and restaurants and bars were up 0.4%. Retail sales posted a 1.5% gain on a year-over-year basis, below the 3.2% increase in the CPI. |
No 3 |
0.6% |
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Feb-2024 |
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Retail sales tumbled 0.8% in January 2024, much more than expected. Advance retail sales declined 0.8% for January, down from a 0.4% gain in December and worse than the estimate for a 0.3% drop. Consumer spending fell sharply in January, presenting a potential early danger sign for the economy, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Advance retail sales declined 0.8% for the month following a downwardly revised 0.4% gain in December, according to the Census Bureau. A decrease had been expected: Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were looking for a drop of 0.3%, in part to make up for seasonal distortions that probably boosted December’s number. |
No 2 |
-0.8% |
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Jan-2024 |
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Strong US retail sales underscore economy's momentum heading into 2024. Retail sales increase 0.6% in December. Core retail sales jump 0.8%; November sales revised up. Manufacturing output gains 0.1%; shrinks in fourth quarter. Retail sales increased 0.6% in December 2024, buoyed by a pickup in clothing and accessory stores as well as online nonstore businesses. Economists expected a rise of 0.4%. Sales ex-autos climbed 0.4%, better than the 0.2% estimate, and the “control group” increased 0.8%. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales ended 2023 up 5.6%. The numbers are not adjusted for inflation, so sales show that consumers are more than keeping up with inflation. Wall Street's main indexes dropped on Wednesday, as rising Treasury yields pressured megacaps after upbeat December retail sales data, tempering hopes of the Federal Reserve kicking off its rate-cut campaign as early as March. |
No 1 |
0.6% |
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Dec-2023 |
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Brief News | 2023 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| DATE/WEEK |
HIGHLIGHTS |
FOR |
RETAIL |
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US economy still resilient as retail sales beat expectations, layoffs stay low. Retail sales increase 0.3% in November. Core retail sales rise 0.4%; October sales revised lower. U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in November as the holiday shopping season got off to a brisk start amid deep discounting, likely keeping the economy on a moderate growth path this quarter and further alleviating fears of a recession. The rebound in retail sales reported by the Commerce Department on Thursday underscored consumers' resilience, thanks to a strong labor market, and cast doubts on financial markets' expectations for a rate cut as early as next March. |
No 12 |
0.3% |
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Nov-2023 |
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US economy cools as retail sales dip, monthly producer prices decline. Retail sales fall 0.1% October; September sales revised higher. Core retail sales increase 0.2%; September data revised up. U.S. retail sales fell for the first time in seven months in October as motor vehicle purchases and spending on hobbies dropped, pointing to slowing demand at the start of the fourth quarter that further strengthened expectations the Federal Reserve is done hiking interest rates. |
No 11 |
-0.1% |
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Oct-2023 |
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Strong retail sales, factory output point to robust US growth in third quarter. Retail sales increase 0.7% in September. Core retail sales rise 0.6%; August sales revised up. Manufacturing production increases 0.4%. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in September as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and spent more at restaurants and bars, cementing expectations that economic growth accelerated sharply in the third quarter. |
No 10 |
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Sep-2023 |
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Retail sales increase 0.6% in August. Core retail sales rise 0.1%; July sales lowered. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August as a surge in gasoline prices boosted receipts at service stations, but the trend in underlying spending on goods slowed as Americans grappled with higher inflation and borrowing costs. The report from the Commerce Department on Thursday also showed spending on goods in July was not as robust as initially thought. The data, however, did not change expectations for solid growth in overall consumer spending this quarter amid evidence of splurging on services like concerts, movies and sporting events. |
No 9 |
0.6% |
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Aug-2023 |
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Strong US retail sales underscore economy's resilience. Retail sales increase 0.7% in July; June sales revised up. Core retail sales jump 1.0%; June sales revised down. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in July as Americans boosted online purchases and dined out more, suggesting the economy continued to expand early in the third quarter and keeping a recession at bay. The report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday also showed consumers splurging on hobbies, sporting goods and clothing, underscoring their resilience despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes to tame inflation. |
No 8 |
0.7% |
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Jul-2023 |
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US retail sales rise moderately; economy plodding along. Retail sales increase 0.2% in June; May data revised higher Core retail sales rise 0.6%; May data revised up. U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in June as receipts at service stations and building material stores declined, but consumers boosted or maintained spending elsewhere, which likely kept the economy on a solid growth path in the second quarter. Overall, the mixed report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday painted a picture of consumer resilience, though slowing momentum in spending growth. It did not change expectations that the Federal Reserve would resume raising interest rates this month after keeping them unchanged in June. |
No 7 |
0.2% |
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Jun-2023 |
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U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May as consumers bought motor vehicles and a range of other goods, which could help to support the economy this quarter. Retail sales increased 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in April, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast sales slipping 0.1%. Retail sales are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation. Food services and drinking places are the only services category in the retail sales report. Though inflation and higher interest rates are causing consumers to be more selective and price sensitive, spending has remained resilient, thanks to strong wage gains resulting from a tight labor market. Some households still have savings accumulated during the COVID-19 pandemic. |
No 6 |
0.3% |
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May-2023 |
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Retail sales rose 0.4% in April, less than expected as consumers struggle with inflation.Consumers barely kept up with inflation in April, as retail sales increased but fell short of expectations, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. The advanced sales report showed an increase of 0.4%, below the Dow Jones estimate for 0.8%. Excluding auto-related figures, sales increased 0.4%, which was in line with expectations. As the numbers are not adjusted for inflation, the headline increase equaled the 0.4% monthly rise in the consumer price index. On an annual basis, sales were up just 1.6%, well below the 4.9% CPI pace. A 0.8% drop in gasoline sales held back the spending figures. Sporting goods, music and book stores posted a 3.3% decline, while furniture and home furnishings saw a 0.7% drop. |
No 5 |
0.4% |
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Apr-2023 |
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Retail sales decline more than expecte. Advanced retail sales data signaled that consumer spending slowed in March as shoppers faced mounting recession fears and turmoil in the banking sector. An advanced reading of retail sales showed a decline by 1% in March, greater than the 0.5% fall expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. The figure marked the weakest month-over-month reading since November. Retail sales excluding autos fell 0.8% versus the 0.4% expected by analysts Retail sales declined by 1% last month, more than the 0.5% fall expected by economists polled by Dow Jones, as consumers dealt with growing recession fears. Retail sales came in weaker than expected, but a lot of the miss had to do with lower gas prices, which all things being equal is a slight positive for spending |
No 4 |
-1.0% |
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Mar-2023 |
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US retail sales point to underlying strength in the economy. Retail sales fall 0.4% in February. Core retail sales increase 0.5%; January sales revised up. U.S. retail sales fell moderately in February, likely payback after the prior month's outsized increase, but the underlying momentum remained strong, suggesting the economy continued to expand in the first quarter despite higher borrowing costs.The report from the Commerce Department on Wednesday, which followed on the heels of data last week showing solid job growth in February, prompted economists to upgrade their gross domestic product growth estimates for this quarter. News on inflation was somewhat encouraging. Producer prices fell last month, leading to the smallest year-on-year increase in nearly two years. |
No 3 |
-0.4% |
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Feb-2023 |
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U.S. retail sales roar back; manufacturing shows improvement. Retail sales increase 3.0% in January. Core retail sales rise 1.7%; December data unrevised. U.S. retail sales increased by the most in nearly two years in January after two straight monthly declines as Americans boosted purchases of motor vehicles and other goods, pointing to the economy's continued resilience despite higher borrowing costs. Coming on the heels of news on Tuesday that monthly inflation picked up last month, signs of strength in consumer spending could fuel financial market speculation that the Federal Reserve could continue raising interest rates through summer to cool domestic demand. |
No 2 |
3.0% |
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Jan-2023 |
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Retail sales fell 1.1% in December, slightly more than the 1% forecast. Those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, so the latest reading reflects both receding inflation and tepid consumer demand during the holiday shopping season.Holiday retail sales tanked, but trucking data shows e-commerce wasn’t the issue. DHL Supply Chain is investing heavily in North American e-commerce operations.The retail holiday sales data for 2022 was a disappointment, but DHL said it is “continuing to see large growth in e-commerce.”Categories including autos, engineering, manufacturing, and high-end consumer goods are doing well. Core consumer retail may rebound in the mid-to-late second quarter, DHL’s head for North America tells CNBC. The market did not like what it saw from the final retail holiday sales numbers for 2022 which sets up a tough year for retailers, but e-commerce is continuing to boom, including in areas outside the core retail consumer. Holiday sales came in below industry expectations, as shoppers felt pinched by inflation and rising interest rates. Sales during November and December grew 5.3% year over year to $936.3 billion, below the NRF’s prediction. The gains include the impact of inflation, too, which drives up total sales. Sales during November and December grew 5.3% year over year to $936.3 billion, below the major trade group’s prediction for growth of between 6% and 8% over the year prior. In early November, NRF had projected spending of between $942.6 billion and $960.4 billion. The retail sales number excludes spending at automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants, and is based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau. It covers the period from Nov. 1 to Dec. 31. |
No 1 |
-1.1% |
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Dec-2022 |
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Brief News | 2022 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
| DATE/WEEK |
HIGHLIGHTS |
FOR |
RETAIL |
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Retail sales fell 0.6% in November as consumers feel the pressure from inflation. Retail sales for November declined 0.6%, even worse than the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.3% drop. Consumers pulled back on spending in November, failing to keep up with even a muted level of inflation for the month, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Retail sales for the month declined 0.6%, even worse than the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.3% drop. The number is not adjusted for inflation as gauged by the Labor Department’s consumer price index, which increased 0.1% in November, which also was below expectations. Measures that exclude autos and both autos and gas sales both showed 0.2% declines. |
No 12 |
-0.6% |
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Nov-2022 |
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Retail sales increase 1.3% in October. Core retail sales rise 0.7%; September sales revised up. Import prices fall for fourth straight month. Manufacturing output rises 0.1%; prior months revised down. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in October as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and a range of other goods, suggesting consumer spending picked up early in the fourth quarter, which could help to support the economy. The solid retail sales reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday and signs of a slowdown in inflation raised cautious optimism the economy could avoid an anticipated recession next year or experience only a mild downturn. |
No 11 |
1.3% |
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Oct-2022 |
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Consumer spending was flat in September and below expectations as inflation takes toll Retail and food services sales in total were little changed in September against the estimate for a 0.3% gain. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.1%, vs. the estimate for spending to be unchanged.The numbers are not adjusted for inflation, indicating that consumer spending slowed. Consumer spending was flat in September as prices moved sharply higher and the Federal Reserve implemented higher interest rates to slow the economy, according to government figures released Thursday. Retail and food services sales were little changed for the month after rising 0.4% in August, according to the advance estimate from the Commerce Department. That was below the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.3% gain. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.1%, against an estimate for no change. Considering that the retail sales numbers are not adjusted for inflation, the report shows that real spending across the range of sectors the report covers retreated for the month. A Bureau of Labor Statistics report Thursday indicated that consumer prices rose 0.4% including all goods and services, and 0.6% when excluding food and energy. Miscellaneous store retailers saw a decline of 2.5% for the month, while gasoline stations were off 1.4% as energy prices declined. |
No 10 |
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Sep-2022 |
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Retail sales increase 0.3% in August. July data revised down to show sales falling 0.4%. Core retail sales unchanged; July sales revised lower. U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rebounded in August as Americans ramped up purchases of motor vehicles and dined out more amid lower gasoline prices, but demand is cooling as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises interest rates to fight inflation. Consumer spending, however, is likely to remain supported by persistent strength in the labor market, with other data on Thursday showing the number of people filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell to the lowest level in more than three months. The data was among the last batch of reports released before the Fed's policy meeting next Wednesday. Together with a surprise increase in consumer prices in August, the reports likely give the U.S. central bank ammunition to deliver a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike. |
No 9 |
0.3% |
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Aug-2022 |
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Retail sales little changed in July amid fall in gas prices and drop in auto sales. Retail sales for July were flat, compared with the estimate for a 0.1% gain. Excluding autos, sales increased 0.4% against expectations for no gain. Falling fuel prices held back receipts at gas stations, while consumers took those savings and spent at other retailers. Retail activity was flat in July as falling fuel prices held back gas station sales and consumers turned more heavily to online shopping, the Census Bureau reported Wednesday. While advance retail sales were unchanged, total receipts excluding autos rose 0.4%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 0.1% increase in the top-line number and a flat total ex-autos. June’s gain was revised down to 0.8% from 1%. Retail and food sales excluding gasoline and autos rose 0.7% from a month ago. The numbers are adjusted seasonally but not for inflation, and come during a month when the consumer price index also was flat. Gas prices had eclipsed $5 a gallon in many locations earlier in the summer, but fell through July and most recently were at $3.94 a gallon for regular unleaded, according to AAA. People appear to have used some of the savings from lower gas prices to spend more on other items, both in nominal and — very likely — real terms. |
No 8 |
0.0% |
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Jul-2022 |
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Retail sales increase 1.0% in June; May data revised up. Core retail sales rise 0.8%; May data revised down. Manufacturing production falls 0.5% in June. Import prices gain 0.2%; core import prices fall 0.5%. U.S. retail sales rebounded strongly in June as Americans spent more on gasoline and other goods amid soaring inflation, which could allay fears of an imminent recession but not change the view that economic growth in the second quarter was tepid.. The economic picture is, however, becoming increasingly muddled. Manufacturing production slumped for a second straight month in June, other data showed on Friday, implying softening demand as the Federal Reserve aggressively tightens monetary policy to bring inflation down to its 2% target. The retail sales data followed on the heels of news this week that annual consumer prices surged last month by the most since late 1981. The economy also continued to create jobs at a brisk clip in June. The reports cemented expectations that the U.S. central bank will deliver another 75-basis-point interest rate hike this month. |
No 7 |
1.0% |
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Jun-2022 |
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Retail sales posted unexpected 0.3% decline in May as inflation hammers consumers. Retail sales turned negative in May as consumers pulled back spending while inflation surged, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Advance retail and food service spending fell 0.3% for the month, below the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.1% gain. Excluding autos, sales were up 0.5%, which fell short of expectations for a 0.8% increase. The numbers are not adjusted for inflation, which increased 1% for the month on the headline number and 0.6% excluding food and energy. Sales were well below the pace in April, which posted a downwardly revised 0.7% increase from the initial 0.9% estimate. Spending for the month declined even though sales at gas stations increased 4% due to fuel prices that scaled new heights, with regular unleaded hitting $4.43 a gallon in May and now running around $5. That growth was offset by a 3.5% decline at motor vehicle and parts dealers. |
No 6 |
-0.3% |
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May-2022 |
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Retail spending increased 0.9% in April 2022, boosted by demand and inflation. Sales rose 0.9% in April, just below the 1% estimate, according to numbers that are not adjusted for inflation. April’s gains were powered by a 4% gain from miscellaneous retail and a 2.1% jump in online sales. Consumers kept spending in April, with retail sales rising about in line with Wall Street expectations despite an ongoing surge in prices. Monthly sales rose 0.9% overall, just below the Dow Jones estimate for a 1% increase, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Excluding autos, sales increased 0.6%, which was better than the 0.4% estimate. The numbers are not adjusted for inflation, so they are indicative both of sustained spending as well as the fastest acceleration in prices the U.S. economy has seen in about 40 years. |
No 5 |
0.9% |
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Apr-2022 |
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Retail sales rose 0.5% in March 2022 amid inflation jump; import prices hit 11-year high. Consumers continued to spend in March 2022 even as inflation rose to its highest level since late 1981, according to government data released Thursday. Retail sales climbed 0.5% from the previous month, slightly less than the 0.6% Dow Jones estimate and a deceleration from the upwardly revised 0.8% gain in February 2022. The move came with inflation rising 1.1% for the month as measured by the consumer price index. Retail sales data are not adjusted for inflation. Consequently, the biggest gain in sales for the month game at gas stations, which saw an 8.9% increase in sales as gasoline prices rose 18.3% during the period. The sector has seen a 37% sales burst over the past year. |
No 4 |
0.5% |
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Mar-2022 |
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Retail sales come up short in February 2022 as inflation slows consumer spending. Retail sales rose 0.3% in February 2022, below the 0.4% estimate as inflation seemed to impact consumer spending. Excluding autos, sales were up just 0.2%, well below the expected 0.9%. Online spending pulled back sharply, while sales totals for gasoline soared as prices jumped higher. Consumers continued to spend in February through at a slower pace than expected, according to a Commerce Department report Wednesday. Advance retail sales grew 0.3% for the month, slightly below the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate. Stripping out autos, sales were up 0.2%, well below expectations for a 0.9% increase and indicative that after a rapid pace to start the year, consumers were slowing down. The spending numbers were well below the rise in prices, which increased 0.8% in February, according to Labor Department data released last week. Retail spending numbers are not adjusted for inflation. The biggest dent in February’s numbers came in online shopping, with nonstore sales down 3.7%. One bright spot in the numbers released Wednesday is that January spending was revised up to an increase of 4.9%, a blistering pace that was even stronger than the initial estimate of 3.8%. |
No 3 |
0.3% |
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Feb-2022 |
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Investors were weighing a stronger-than-expected retail sales report for January 2022. The Commerce Department said sales jump 3.8% last month, though that number is not adjusted for inflation. The sales decline in December was also revised even lower. The numbers came with the economy facing the worst inflation in 40 years, which helps feed into the retail sales numbers. The Federal Reserve is expected to enact multiple interest rate hikes this year to combat rising prices, with markets looking for the central bank to boost its benchmark short-term borrowing rate by half a percentage point in March. |
No 2 |
3.8% |
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Jan-2022 |
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The advance monthly sales report to close out the year showed a decline of 1.9%, considerably worse than the Dow Jones estimate for just a 0.1% drop. Excluding autos, sales fell 2.3%, a number that also fell well short of expectations for a 0.3% rise. In addition to the weak December 2021 numbers, the November gain was revised down to 0.2% from the initially reported 0.3% increase. Considering that the sales numbers are not adjusted for inflation, the data point to a slow ending to what had otherwise been a strong 2021 in which sales rose 16.9% from the pandemic-scarred 2020. The consumer price index rose 0.5% for the month, bringing the year-over-year gain to 7%, the highest since June 1982. Wholesale price also rose, climbing 9.7% in the 12-month period for the biggest calendar-year rise since data was kept going back to 2010. |
No 1 |
-1.9% |
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Dec-2021 |
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Brief News | 2021 |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Retail Sales (At 8:30 a.m ET)
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Modest 0.3% November 2021 Retail Sales Bump, Optimism Still High. Americans slowed their spending from October to November but still continued to shop ahead of the critical holiday season, brushing off rising prices and shortages. Americans slowed their spending from October to November but continued shopping ahead of the critical holiday season, brushing off rising prices and shortages. |
No 12 |
0.3% |
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Nov2021 |
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Retail sales jumped 1.7% last month, the largest gain since March, after rising 0.8% in September. It was the third straight monthly advance and topped economists' expectations for a 1.4% increase. Sales soared 16.3% year-on-year in October and are 21.4% above their pre-pandemic level. U.S. retail sales surged in October as Americans eagerly started their holiday shopping early to avoid empty shelves amid shortages of some goods because of the ongoing pandemic, giving the economy a lift at the start of the fourth quarter. |
No 11 |
1.7% |
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Oct-2021 |
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Consumers spent at a much faster pace than expected in September 2021, defying expectations for a pullback amid pervasive supply chain problems, the Census Bureau reported Friday. Retail sales for the month increased by 0.7%, against the Dow Jones estimate for a decline of 0.2%. Excluding auto-related sales, the number rose 0.8%, better than the 0.5% forecast. Compared with a year ago, sales were up 13.9% on the headline number and 15.6% excluding autos. |
No 10 |
0.7% |
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Sep-2021 |
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Retail sales post surprise gain as consumers show strength despite delta fears. Retail sales rose 0.7% in August 2021 versus expectations for a 0.8% decline. Excluding autos, sales increased 1.8% versus the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.1% gain. Economists had expected that consumers cut back their activity as the delta variant continued its tear through the U.S. Persistent supply chain bottlenecks also were expected to hold back spending as in-demand goods were hard to find. |
No 9 |
0.7% |
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Aug-2021 |
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Retail sales drop worse-than-expected 1.1% in July 2021 as rising Covid fears hit consumers. Retail sales declined 1.1% in July, worse than the expected drop of 0.3%. Motor vehicles and parts dealers led the decline, along with clothing and sporting goods stores. Gasoline sales and eating and drinking establishments saw the biggest gains. Shoppers in the U.S. cut back their purchases in July even more than expected as worries over the delta variant of Covid-19 dampened activity and government stimulus dried up. |
No 8 |
-1.1% |
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Jul-2021 |
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U.S. retail sales unexpectedly increased in June 2021 as demand for goods remained strong even as spending is shifting back to services, bolstering expectations that economic growth accelerated in the second quarter. Retail sales rose 0.6% last month. Data for May was revised down to show sales falling 1.7% instead of declining 1.3% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales dropping 0.4%. |
No 7 |
0.6% |
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Jun-2021 |
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U.S. retail sales declined in May 2021, after a stimulus-related splurge in the prior two months, suggesting consumers are starting to shift more of their spending to services as the economy reopens. The total value of retail purchases fell 1.3% in May following an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in April, Commerce Department figures showed Tuesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.8% decrease. |
No 6 |
-1.3% |
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May-2021 |
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U.S. retail sales unchanged in April, vs 1.0% increase expected. Retail sales flat in April after huge surge in March. April retail sales in the U.S. were unchanged from March, which saw a surge revised up to 10.7%, according to the latest Commerce Department report published Friday. Why it matters: The U.S. has been entering a period of growing optimism in the wake of the vaccine rollout, falling new COVID-19 cases and deaths, and a slowly recovering labor market. |
No 5 |
0.0% |
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Apr-2021 |
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A fresh batch of stimulus checks sent consumer purchases surging in March 2021 as the U.S. economy continued to get juice from aggressive congressional spending. Retail sales rose 9.8% for the month, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. That compared to the Dow Jones estimate of a 6.1% gain and a decline of 2.7% in February.Sporting goods, clothing and food and beverage led the gains in spending and contributed to the best month for retail since the May 2020 gain of 18.3%, which came after the first round of stimulus checks. |
No 4 |
9.8% |
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Mar-2021 |
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U.S. retail sales fell more than expected moderately in February 2021 amid bitterly cold weather across the country, but a rebound is likely as the government disburses another round of pandemic relief money to mostly lower- and middle-income households. Retail sales dropped by a seasonally adjusted 3.0% last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. Data for January was revised up to show sales rebounding 7.6% instead of 5.3% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail dropping 0.5% in February. |
No 3 |
-3.0% |
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Feb-2021 |
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Retail sales burst higher in January 2021 as consumers use stimulus checks to spend heavily. Retail sales jumped 5.3% to start 2021, well ahead of the 1.2% expectation.The big move came as millions of consumers received $600 stimulus checks.Every major category of spending, including food and drinking establishments, saw gains. |
No 2 |
5.3% |
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Jan-2021 |
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U.S. retail sales fall again in December 2021. U.S. retail sales declined further in December as renewed measures to slow the spread of Covid-19 undercut spending at restaurants and reduced traffic to shopping malls. Retail sales dropped 0.7% last month, the Commerce Department said on Friday. U.S. retail sales declined further in December as renewed measures to slow the spread of COVID-19 undercut spending at restaurants and reduced traffic to shopping malls, the latest sign the economy lost considerable speed at the end of 2020. |
No 1 |
-0.7% |
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Dec-2020 |
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Definitions | Explain |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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| RETAIL SALES |
Importance
Retail sales account for about one-third of consumer spending, the main engine of the economy. They are a good proxy for how fast the U.S. is growing, though the data is prone to sharp revisions.
The retail sales report is the government’s first look each month at consumer spending, which drives about 70 percent of economic activity.
Retail Sales are a major indicator of consumer spending trends because they account for nearly one-half of total consumer spending and approximately one-third of aggregate economic activity.
The Retail Sales Index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated.
Nearly 75% of the time, changes in monthly retail sales are between +1% and -1%. Retail sales are subject to substantial month-to-month variability.
Interpret Data
Strong retail sales are bearish for the bond market, but favorable for the stock market, particularly retail stocks. Sluggish retail sales could lead to a bond market rally, but will probably be bearish for the stock market.
The retail sales report captures in-store sales as well as catalog and other out-of-store sales. The report also breaks down sales figures into groups such as foodand beverages, clothing, and autos. The results are often presented two ways: with and without auto sales being counted, because their high sticker price can add extra volatility to the data.
Many analysts choose to look at the figures "ex-auto", which means excluding the volatile car sales figure. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, gasoline and building materials correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of the government's gross domestic product report.
The auto sector accounts for about one-fifth of total sales and can obscure broader trends in the retail segment.
Retail sales are a good proxy for how fast the U.S. is growing, though economists look at longer-term trends because the monthly data is volatile and subject to sharp revisions.
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Data | Source |
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Retail Sales | Sales and Inventories |
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Today's Week |
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| DATA INFORMATION |
RETAIL SALES |
| SOURCE |
Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce. |
| WEB |
www.census.gov |
| FREQUENCY |
Monthly |
| AVAILABILITY |
Mid-month |
| COVERAGE |
Data are for the previous month. Data for June are released in July. |
| REVISIONS |
Yes |
| IMPORTANCE |
Sales and Inventories - Very Important |
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