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Week 15 -2012 | From Apr 09 to Apr 13, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 15-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 15-2012 |
Last |
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Mon |
Non Reports for Our Global Vision |
There will be no Economic Reports released on Monday 9, april 2012. |
N/A |
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No Reports |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
The ICSC Index rose 0.5% in the week ended Saturday from the week before as retailers benefited from the leadup to the Easter holiday.
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0.5% W/W |
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 |
Sales and Inventories |
ICSC expects industry sales will increase 3% to 4% for the month of April. On a year-on-year basis, the reading rose 4.5%.
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
Redbook's year-on-year same-store sales rate came in at plus 4.1% in the April 7 week vs an outsized rate of plus 4.6% in the prior week. |
4.1% Y/Y |
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Sales and Inventories |
This year's early Easter gave a boost to retail sales in late March and early April. Aside from the prior week, the latest week's rate is the highest so far this year. |
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Tue |
Wholesale Trade |
The rate of inventory build at the wholesale level, plus 0.9% in February, is high but so is the sales rate, at plus 1.2% . |
0.9% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Given that inventory levels are a bit larger than sales levels, the mix of monthly rates keeps the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged for a third straight month at 1.17. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, fell 2.4% in the week ended April 6. |
-2.4% W/W |
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Real Estate |
The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications slid 3.1%. The gauge of loan requests for home purchases fared better, edging down only 0.5%. |
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Wed |
Import and Export Prices |
U.S. import prices rose in March by the most in nearly a year on sharply higher petroleum costs, but prices outside food and energy climbed more modestly. |
3.4%
Y/Y |
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Inflation |
Overall import prices rose 1.3% , the Labor Department said on Wednesday. That was the biggest gain since April 2011. export prices rose 0.8% last month, increased 0.4% in February. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
Oil prices fell to near $103 a barrel Friday in Asia after economic growth slowed in China, the world's second-largest crude consumer. |
56.0 |
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Commodity |
Higher costs for energy have fueled inflation in recent months but a still-weak jobs market has made it harder for businesses to raise other prices. |
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Wed |
Treasury Budget |
The U.S. government ran a budget deficit of $198 billion in March. The March figure pushed the deficit up to $779 billion for the first six months of fiscal 2012. |
$-198.2 Billions |
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Government |
The deficit for the first half of fiscal 2012 is lower than the one recorded in the same period in 2011, but the government remains on track to post another deficit of more than $1 trillion for the entire 2012 fiscal year. |
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Wed |
Beige Book 3 |
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book, released on Wednesday, showed that all 12 Fed districts reported economic progress ranging from "steady" to "strong"; Yet volatility remains high. |
N/A |
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Interest Rates |
Business conditions have improved in the Fifth District economy. Manufacturing activity continued to advance, although somewhat more slowly than at the beginning of the year. While trade activity increased, imports improved somewhat more slowly than exports. |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Jobless claims rose by 13,000 last week to 380,000, the highest since late January. The four-week average climbed by 4,250 to 368,500, the highest in a month. |
380,000 |
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Employment |
These results do not point to improvement in the jobs market. Weekly jobless claims are no longer the best news on the economic calendar. |
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Thu |
U.S. Trade Balance |
February exports of $181.2 billion and imports of $227.2billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $46.0 billion, down from $52.5 billion in January, revised. |
$-46.0 Billions |
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Balance of Payments |
The U.S. trade deficit shrank 12.4% to $46 billion in February, the biggest month-to-month decline since May 2009. |
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Thu |
Producer Price Index |
U.S. producer prices were unchanged last month after advancing 0.4% in February. Economists polled had expected prices at farms, factories and refineries to rise 0.3%. |
0.0% |
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Inflation |
Wholesale prices excluding volatile food and energy costs, core PPI, rose 0.3% after February's 0.2% gain. PPI inflation in March was unexpectedly soft at the headline level. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
Working natural gas in storage as of March 30 totaled 2,479, which is 816 billion cubic feet (Bcf) greater than the 5-year (2007-2011) maximum for that date. |
8 bcf |
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Commodity |
Inventories for each week ending in March have been greater than 2,300 Bcf; the next highest March inventory level of any year for the 18 years for which EIA has data is 1,887 Bcf. |
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China GDP |
February exports of $181.2 billion and imports of $227.2billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $46.0 billion, down from $52.5 billion in January, revised. |
$-46.0 Billions |
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February exports were $0.2 billion more than January exports of $180.9 billion.February imports were $6.3 billion less than January imports of $233.4 billion. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
The Fed's balance sheet - a broad gauge of its lending to the financial system - stood at $2.85 trillion on April 11, up from $2.848 trillion on April 4. |
$1.7B |
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Government |
The U.S. Balance Sheet: Households See Net Worth Down by $12 Trillion Since Peak and Total Debt Floating in the Market of $33 Trillion. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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$ 21.9B |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.90% with an average 0.7 point for the week ending April 5, 2012, down from last week when it averaged 3.99%. |
3.90% |
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Interest Rates |
15-year FRM this week averaged 3.31% with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.21%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.10%. |
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Fri |
Consumer Price Index |
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in March as the cost of most goods increased. So-called core prices rose a seasonally adjusted 0.2%. CPI inflation eased slightly in March but remained on the warm side due to higher energy. |
0.2% |
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Inflation |
While higher stock prices and employment gains have cheered consumers this year, gas prices are up and conditions in Europe remain a concern. |
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Fri |
Consumer Sentiment |
The preliminary reading for consumer sentiment in April declined to 75.7 from a final March level of 76.2. Economists watch sentiment data to get a feel for the direction of consumer spending |
75.7 |
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Consumer |
The sentiment gauge, which covers how consumers view their personal finances as well as business and buying conditions, averaged about 87 in the year before the most recent recession. |
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| WEEK 15-2012 ENDING APR. 13 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
 |
WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 15 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
 |
RESISTANCE 1 |
1,375.50 |
1.07% |
1.15% |
|
RESISTANCE 2 |
1,367.00 |
0.44% |
0.48% |
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CLOSE APR 06 |
1,361.00 |
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OPEN APR 08 |
1,361.00 |
0.00% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,346.50 |
-1.07% |
-1.15% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,339.75 |
-1.56% |
-1.69% |
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