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Week 14 -2012 | From Apr 02 to Apr 06, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 14-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 14-2012 |
Last |
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Mon |
ISM Manufacturing Index |
The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing gauge rose to 53.4% last month from 52.4% in February, the organization said Monday. |
53.4 |
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Manufacturing |
The ISM's production index increased to 58.3% last month from 55.3%, but the new-orders index slipped to 54.5% from 54.9%. Also, the employment index climbed to 56.1% from 53.2%. |
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Fri |
Construction Spending |
Construction spending in the U.S. unexpectedly fell in February, reflecting broad-based declines that indicate the building industry will take time to stabilize. |
-1.1% |
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Growth |
The 1.1% decrease, the biggest in seven months, followed a revised 0.8% retreat in January that was larger than previously estimated. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
The approach of Easter helped give a big 3.8% week-on-week lift to same-store sales. ICSC-Goldman's year-on-year rate also jumped to plus 4.2% for the strongest rate so far this year. |
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Sales and Inventories |
Eastern, which falls of April 8 this year vs April 24 last year, always clouds retail readings but ICSC-Goldman is stressing that the strength it sees goes beyond calendar effects. |
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Tue |
Motor Vehicle Sales |
Auto sales decline about 4.8% in March, at least compared to a very strong February with 15.10 millions. |
14.4M |
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Sales and Inventories |
The auto industry has been in a slow, sporadic recovery for the past two years, and the March data suggested the pace of the recovery is gathering steam. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
First ICSC-Goldman and now Redbook are reporting the strongest year-on-year rate of same-store sales growth so far this year, at plus 4.6% in the March 31 week. |
4.6% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Redbook warns that, due to distortions from Easter comparisons, March and April must be taken together and that gains for March, benefiting from the early Easter, will come at the expense of April. |
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Tue |
Factory Orders |
New orders for manufactured goods rose 1.3%, just below the 1.5% gain expected by private forecasters in a Reuters poll. |
1.3% |
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Manufacturing |
New orders for U.S. factory goods rebounded in February and firms increased orders for capital goods suggesting manufacturing held on to some momentum early in the year. |
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Tue |
FOMC Minutes Meeting #2 |
U.S. Federal Reserve said it was less inclined to provide more economic stimulus, underlining its divergence from a Europe facing recession. |
N/A |
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Interest Rates |
The minutes from the Fed's March meeting noted "a couple" of committee members thought more stimulus might be needed if the economy loses momentum. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Applications for U.S. home mortgages gained last week after seven straight weeks of declines, helped by a jump in purchase demand as interest rates retreated, an industry group said on Wednesday. |
4.8% |
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Real Estate |
The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications climbed 4%, while the gauge of loan requests for home purchases jumped 7.2%. |
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Wed |
ADP Employment Report |
The private sector created 209,000 jobs in March, continuing the slow but steady rise in employment that has characterized the employment market for months. |
209,000
Jobs
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Employment |
The service sector increased 164,000 in March, though the rate of job creation slowed a big from the upwardly revised 183,000 in February. |
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Wed |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
The NMI registered 56% in March, 1.3 percentage points lower than the 57.3% registered in February, and indicating continued growth at a slower rate in the non-manufacturing sector. |
56.0 |
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Business Actvity |
According to the NMI, 16 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in March. Respondents� comments remain mostly optimistic about business conditions. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
NYMEX-U.S. crude ends lower as inventories rise U.S. crude stocks up 9 mln bbls last week-EIA. Dollar strengthens, helps pressure crude. |
9.0M |
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Commodity |
U.S. crude futures fell, dropping more than 2% after a government report showed crude oil inventories last week rose much more sharply than expected in the United States. |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Initial jobless claims total 357,000 in the March 31 week, down 6,000 vs a revised 363,000 in the prior week. The four-week average is down a sizable 4,250 to 361,750. |
357,000 |
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Employment |
The latest week's level and the level for the 4-week average are both recovery lows.Layoffs continue to decrease in what is a strong signal that the unemployment rate is continuing to come down. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
The soft demand for heating left the nation with more natural gas than in any March on record. Storage facilities are holding 60% more natural gas than usual. |
42 bcf |
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Commodity |
Natural gas in storage rose 42 billion cubic feet in the March 30 week to 2,479 bcf. An injection of 30 bcf was expected. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
For the April 4 week, the Fed's balance sheet shrank $12.7 billion after declining $14.5 the prior week. The recent decline, however, was a positive, reflecting improvement in financial markets in Europe. |
-12.7B |
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Government |
Central bank liquidity swaps fell $18.6 billion. On the positive side, U.S. Treasuries rose $4.5 billion. Holdings of mortgage-backed securities were little changed. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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37.6B |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
The average U.S. rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage was mostly unchanged this week, as the cost of home-buying and refinancing stayed near record lows. |
3.98% APR |
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Interest Rates |
The rate on the 30-year loan fell slightly to 3.98% from 3.99% last week. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage also fell, to 3.21% from 3.23%. |
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Fri |
Employment Situation |
The unemployment rate fell to 8.2% from 8.3%, because more people dropped out of the labor force. The average workweek fell 0.1 hour to 34.5, while average hourly earnings rose 0.2% to $23.39. |
8.2% |
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Employment |
The U.S. economy added 120,000 jobs in March, the smallest increase in 5 months: fell well below expectations and failed to break the 200,000 level for the first time since December. |
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Fri |
Consumer Credit |
Consumer credit expanded more slowly than expected in February though people still were borrowing money to buy cars and go to school, Federal Reserve figures issued on Friday showed. |
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Consumer |
Total consumer installment credit expanded by $8.73 billion, less than half the revised $18.60 billion increase posted in January and below estimates by Wall Street economists for a $12 billion rise. |
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| WEEK 14-2012 ENDING APR. 06 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 14 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
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RESISTANCE 1 |
1,402.00 |
0.86% |
0.62% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,394.25 |
0.31% |
0.00% |
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CLOSE MAR 30 |
1,390.00 |
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OPEN APR 02 |
1,394.25 |
0.31% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,375.50 |
-1.04% |
-1.49% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,360.00 |
-2.16% |
-2.73% |
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