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Week 12 -2012 | From Mar 19 to Mar 23, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 12-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 12-2012 |
Last |
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Mon |
Housing Market Index |
Home builder confidence hit a plateau in March, failing to post yet another gain. The steadiness of the HMI at 28 in March denotes a slowly strengthening, but still weak, home building market. |
28
Level
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Real Estate |
Following five months of gains, the HMI held steady at 28, its highest level since June 2007. The February reading was revised downward to 28 from 29. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
The ICSC Index edged up 0.9% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis, rising for the third-straight week. |
0.9% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Warmer temperatures helped spending for the week as apparel and department stores saw particular strength. ICSC still expects March industry sales will increase 3% to 5%.
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Tue |
Housing Starts |
The start of construction on new U.S. homes fell 1.1% in February to an annual rate of 698,000, but permits rose 5.1%: adding to signs that the industry is stabilizing. |
-1.1% |
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Real Estate |
Builders broke ground on 698,000 homes at an annual rate: down 1.1% from a January pace that was stronger than previously reported. Building permits climbed to the highest level since October 2008. |
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Tue |
Building Permits |
Building permits climbed to the highest level since October 2008. Building permits rose 5.1%: adding to signs that the industry is stabilizing. |
717K |
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Real Estate |
Housing permits were moderately stronger than starts. Permits rose 5.1%, following a 1.6% boost in January. The February figure of 717K units was above the consensus projection of 700K. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
National chain store sales edged up 0.4% in the first three weeks of March from February. The Johnson Redbook Index also showed seasonally adjusted sales for the period were up 3.3% from last year. |
3.6% |
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Sales and Inventories |
Redbook said more favorable weather throughout most of the country and the celebration of St. Patrick's Day contributed to a pickup in business over the week. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Applications for refinancing which fell 9.3% in the March 16 week. US mortgage market index slumped 7.4% to 681.9 in the week ended march 16. |
-7.4% W/W |
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Real Estate |
The major increase in interest rates is having an immediate and significant impact on mortgage applications. The Fixed 30-year mortgage rates surged 13 bps to average 4.19% from 4.06%. |
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Wed |
Existing Home Sales Index |
Existing home sales data for February were slightly weaker than expected. February sales dropped to a 4.59 million annual run rate; 0.9% lower than January's revised 4.63 million figure. |
4.59 Level |
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Real Estate |
U.S. previously occupied home sales dipped last month, but winters sales were the best in five years. Home sales fell 0.9% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.59 million. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
A drop in imports contributed to a 1.2 million barrel draw in crude oil inventories in the March 16 week to 346.3 million barrels. |
-1.2M |
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Commodity |
Oil increased after the U.S. Energy Department said that crude inventories unexpectedly dropped 1.16 million barrels last week. |
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Thu |
HSBC China Flash PMI |
March flash manufacturing PMI slid to a reading of 48.1, a four month low from February's reading of 49.6. The output index declined to 48.1 from 50.2 the month before. |
48.1 |
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China |
Weakening domestic demand weighed on growth. A reading below the breakeven point of 50 indicates contraction. |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Initial claims fell 5,000 in the March 17 week to a better-than-expected 348,000 vs a revised 353,000 in the prior week. |
348K |
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Employment |
The number of Americans claiming new unemployment benefits dropped to a four-year low last week, bolstering hopes a recent pick-up in job growth will prove lasting. |
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Thu |
FHFA House Price Index |
U.S. house prices were unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis from December to January, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency�s monthly House Price Index. |
0.0% |
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Real Estate |
The previously reported 0.7% increase in December was revised downward to reflect a 0.1% increase. For the 12 months ending in January, U.S. prices fell 0.8%. |
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Thu |
Leading Indicators |
Economic progress may continue through the summer and possibly beyond. its index of leading economic indicators grew 0.7% in February, led by improving jobless claims. |
0.7% |
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Business Activity |
Continued broad-based gains in the LEI for the United States confirm a more positive outlook for general economic activity in the first half of 2012. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
Natural gas in storage rose 11 billion cubic feet in the March 16 week to 2,380 bcf. Total domestic gas inventories for the week ended March 16 rose 11 billion cubic feet to 2.380 trillion cubic feet. |
11 bcf |
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Commodity |
Natural gas futures ended lower on Thursday: gas inventories climbed last week for the first time this year, as a near-record mild winter triggered an early start to the stock-building season. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
Treasury holdings grew 64% to $1.75 trillion, making up the bulk of the balance sheet.�Total assets for the March 21 week dipped to $2.895 trillion. |
$-0.9B |
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Government |
The Federal Reserve�s balance sheet grew an impressive 20% to $2.9 trillion in 2011. The Fed's balance sheet was little changed, edging down $0.9 billion after growing $8.8 billion the week before. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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$12.0B |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
The mortgage giant said that 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) was 4.08% for the week ending March 22, breaking the 4% barrier that had held since October 27, 2011. |
4.08% APR |
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Interest Rates |
The 15-year FRM averaged 3.30%, up from its previous week average of 3.16%. The average rates don't include extra fees, known as points, which added the rates up by 0.6% to 0.8%. |
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Fri |
New Home Sales |
Sales of new properties for single families dipped to an annual rate of 313,000 from January's 318,000. That's the slowest pace since October, and it follows a 5.4% tumble in January. |
313K |
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Real Estate |
The housing market remains wobbly as new-home sales slipped for the second month in a row, sinking 1.6% in February. |
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| WEEK 12-2012 ENDING MAR. 23 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 12 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
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RESISTANCE 1 |
1,398.25 |
0.96% |
1.14% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,394.25 |
0.67% |
0.82% |
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CLOSE MAR 16 |
1,385.00 |
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OPEN MAR 18 |
1,384.00 |
-0.07% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,375.50 |
-0.69% |
-0.68% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,367.00 |
-1.30% |
-1.35% |
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