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Week 27 -2012 | From July 02 to July 06, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 27-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 27-2012 |
LAST |
|
Tue |
ISM Manufacturing Index |
Manufacturing activity in the U.S. dropped in June into contraction territory for the first time since July 2009. The ISM dropped to 49.7% from 53.5% in May. |
49.7
Level |
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Manufacturing |
The new-orders index dropped 12.3 percentage points in June, registering 47.8% and indicating contraction in new orders for the first time since April 2009. |
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Fri |
Construction Spending |
Construction spending in the U.S. increased a better-than-expected 0.9 percent in May to an annual rate of $830 billion, the highest level since December 2009. |
0.9% |
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Growth |
This was the biggest increase of the year and was well above analysts� expectations of a 0.2% rise. Spending is at its highest level since December 2009. Spending is up 7% compared with May 2011. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
The ICSC index rose a slight 0.2% from the prior week, while increasing just 1.4% over the prior-year period during the week ending June 30th, the weakest performance in over 2 years. |
0.2% M/M |
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Sales and Inventories |
Weather took a bite out of sales with some 2.5 million people without power late in the sales week as severe storms affected the consumers� ability to shop. |
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Tue |
Motor Vehicle Sales |
Toyota and Honda bounced back from quake-related woes a year ago and the Detroit 3 beat low expectations as U.S. auto sales jumped 22% in June. |
14.1M |
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Sales and Inventories |
Consumers were buying cars and trucks last month based on unit sales which rose to a 14.1 million annual rate from May's rate of 13.8 million. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
Redbook Research reported that same-store sales increased 1.7% for the final week of June, the weakest gain in nearly 15 months and following a 1.9% gain in the prior week. |
2.2% Y/Y |
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Sales and Inventories |
Month-to-date, sales rose 2.2% over last year and 0.2% relative to May. Redbook analyst Caitlin Levis said �Our model finished the month below plan, making for a disappointing, though not particularly surprising, sub-performing month.� |
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Tue |
Factory Orders |
Companies placed more orders with U.S. factories in May from April, demanding more computers, machinery and other equipment that signal investment plans. |
0.7% |
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Manufacturing |
The increase is a welcome sign after two months of declining factory orders. Still, factory orders are down from the start of the year. Factory orders increased 0.7 percent in May from April. |
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Wed |
Independence Day |
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N/A |
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US Market Holidays |
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Thu |
MBA purchase Applications |
The purchase index for the June 29 week is up 1 percent vs two prior weeks of small declines. Mortgage applications decreased 5.2 percent from one week earlier. |
-6.7% M/M |
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Real Estate |
The refinance index is down 8 percent reflecting a significant drop in applications for government loans. |
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Thu |
ADP Employment Report |
Employment in the U.S. nonfarm private business sector increased by 176,000 from May to June on a seasonally adjusted basis. The estimated gain from April to May was revised up modestly, from the initial estimate of 133,000 to a revised estimate of 136,000. |
176,000 Jobs |
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Employment |
Employment in the private, service-providing sector increased by 160,000 in June, after rising a revised 137,000 in May. Employment in the private, goods-producing sector added 16,000 jobs in June. Manufacturing employment added 4,000, reversing May�s decline. |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
The number of initial claims declined during the week ending on June 30th; the total initial claims decreased by 14k and settled at 374,000 claims (seasonally adjusted data). |
374,000 |
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Employment |
This figure is lower than the revised figure of 388k claims from last week; the four week average decreased to 385,750. |
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Thu |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
According to a report Friday from the Institute for Supply Management, the group's non-manufacturing index moved to 52.6, from 52.1 the month before. It had been expected to come in at 52.0. |
53.5 |
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Business Activity |
The non-manufacturing report's details were mixed. Hiring shrank, with the employment index at 49.3 in July, from June's 52.3. The new orders index was 54.3, from 53.3. |
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Thu |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
Mixed U.S. mortgage rates fell again to new record lows, providing prospective buyers with even more incentive to brave a modestly recovering housing market. |
3.66% |
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Interest Rates |
Freddie Mac said the average on the 30-year loan dropped to 3.62 percent. That's down from 3.66 percent last week and the lowest since long-term mortgages began in the 1950s. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
The Fed's balance sheet - a broad gauge of its lending to the financial system - stood at $2.848 trillion on July 4, down from $2.846 trillion the previous week. |
$2.848 |
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Government |
U.S. Federal Reserve's balance sheet expanded in the latest week. The Fed's holdings of Treasuries totaled $1.666 trillion as of July 4, versus $1.667 trillion the previous week. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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N/A |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
Mixed U.S. mortgage rates fell again to new record lows, providing prospective buyers with even more incentive to brave a modestly recovering housing market. |
3.62%
APR
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Interest Rates |
Freddie Mac said the average on the 30-year loan dropped to 3.62%. That's down from 3.66% last week and the lowest since long-term mortgages began in the 1950s. |
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Fri |
Employment Situation |
The U.S. economy created just 80,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate held steady at 8.2%, reflecting continued slow growth in the economy with the presidential election just four months away. |
8.20%
Rate |
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Employment |
Private payrolls increased 84,000, while the government lost 4,000 jobs. Economists expected job growth of about 100,000 and the unemployment rate to be unchanged, though many had increased their forecasts based on some recent indicators. |
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| WEEK 24-2012 ENDING JUL. 06 |
Reports Commentary
We find both positive and negative turns in store sales this morning, as the ICSC-Goldman reports an increase in year over year growth to 2.8%, from 2.4% Y/Y last week, and the Redbook reports a decrease in Y/Y growth down to 1.6%, from 2.3% Y/Y last wee.
us of $75 billion in September, Treasury said in its monthly budget statement, the second monthly surplus of the fiscal year and the biggest surplus since April 2008. The government’s fiscal year runs from October 1 to September 30.The full-year figure comes about a month before voters go to the polls and choose President Barack Obama or former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney for the White House. Deficit reduction has been a major component of the 2012 presidential race, with Romney frequently citing Obama-era shortfalls. Both men pledge to cut the deficit but differ dramatically on how: Obama wants Bush-era tax cuts on wealthy earners to expire; Romney would attack the deficit with spending cuts. |
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 27 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
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RESISTANCE 1 |
1,330.25 |
1.39% |
1.35% |
|
RESISTANCE 2 |
1,326.25 |
1.08% |
1.04% |
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CLOSE MAR 02 |
1,350.00 |
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OPEN MAR 04 |
1,255.00 |
0.04% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,289.00 |
0.66% |
0.62% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,283.50 |
0.08% |
0.04% |
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