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Week 18 -2012 | From Apr 30 to May 04, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 18-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 18-2012 |
LAST |
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Mon |
Personal Income |
Personal income rose a solid 0.4% in March and the prior month's gain was revised 0.1% point higher. Most major components making positive contributions during the month. |
0.4% |
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Consumer |
U.S. household income rose in March by the most in three months although consumers socked away part of the extra cash by saving more and only modestly increasing spending. |
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Mon |
Consumer Spending Real PCE |
Spending rose just 0.3%, which allowed the saving rate to rise to 3.8%. Rising income and falling spending are the signs of a fiscally leaner American consumer. |
0.3% |
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Consumer |
Personal spending trend is good. Durables dipped 0.3% in March (autos declined after a strong February); nondurables jumped 0.9% on higher gasoline prices. |
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Mon |
Core PCE |
The Core PCE rate firmed to 0.2% in March from 0.1% the prior month. Expectations were for a 0.2% boost. |
0.1% |
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Inflation |
In the 12 months through March, the PCE index was up 2.1%, the lowest in a year but still just above the U.S. Federal Reserve's target of 2%. |
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Mon |
Chicago PMI |
A gauge of Chicago-area manufacturing slowed in April to the weakest growth rate in 29 months, according to a survey released Monday, data that may raise doubts about the health of a national index due for release in a day�s time.
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N/A |
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Manufacturing |
SM-Chicago reported the Chicago business barometer, which is popularly called the Chicago PMI, dropped to 56.2 in April from 62.2 in March. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Sachs Index |
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N/A |
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Sales and Inventories |
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Tue |
Motor Vehicle Sales |
Sales of cars and light trucks were steady in April compared to March, offering a neutral signal for the motor vehicle component of the April retail sales report. |
14.4M |
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Sales and Inventories |
Sales, expressed by manufacturers in units, came in at a 14.4 million annual rate, unchanged from the rate in March. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
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N/A |
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Sales and Inventories |
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Tue |
ISM Manufacturing Index |
Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in April for the 33rd consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 35th consecutive month. |
54.8
Level
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Manufacturing |
The PMI registered 54.8%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points from March's reading of 53.4%, indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector for the 33rd consecutive month. The ISM Manufacturing report was much better than expected leading to a stock rally. |
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Tue |
Construction Spending |
U.S. builders barely increased their spending on construction projects in March after two straight months of declines. US construction spending barely increased in March: 0.1% |
0.1% |
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Growth |
A pickup in single-family home construction and commercial projects offset a steep drop in state and local government building. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
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N/A |
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Real Estate |
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Wed |
ADP Employment Report |
The disappointing ADP figure doesn�t bode well for Friday�s much-anticipated April employment report. Economists expect U.S. non-farm payrolls to rise by 170,000. |
119,000 Jobs |
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Employment |
That would be an increase from March, which shocked the markets with a paltry 120,000 jobs added. ADP estimates that April private payrolls will rise by only 119,000 in what would be significant monthly slowing vs a revised 201,000 in March. |
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Wed |
Factory Orders |
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N/A |
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Manufacturing |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
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N/A |
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Commodity |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
Jobless claims fell very convincingly in the April 28 week, down 27,000 to a much lower-than-expected level of 365,000. This level is still tangibly higher than the 360,000 levels through March. |
365,000 |
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Employment |
The big decline takes claims back toward the 350,000 level that was being tested in March and February. But this is only one week of improvement which is reflected in the four-week average that, despite the big decline, rose slightly in the week to 383,500. |
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Thu |
Productivy and Costs |
Productivity declined in the first quarter on slower output and more hours worked. Nonfarm business productivity dipped an annualized 0.5% in Q1 after rising 1.2% in the previous quarter. |
-0.50% |
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Business Activity |
Unit labor costs eased to an annualized increase of 2.0 percent, following a 2.7 percent gain in the fourth quarter. The consensus forecast was for a 2.5 percent boost. |
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Thu |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
The U.S. services industry expanded at a slower than expected pace in April, new data out of the Institute for Supply Management showed. |
53.5 |
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Business Activity |
The key Non-Manufacturing Index declined to 53.5 from 56.0 a month earlier. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. Business conditions have improved in March and April 2012. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
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N/A |
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Commodity |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
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N/A |
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Government |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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N/A |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
Borrowers of 30-year loans were charged an average rate of just 3.84%, down from its previous low of 3.87% set in early February, according to Freddie Mac's weekly survey. |
3.84%
APR |
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Interest Rates |
The average 15-year rate was 3.07%, down from the record of 3.11% set three weeks ago. Average rates for both 15-year and 30-year fixed mortgages fell to new all-time record lows this week. |
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Fri |
Employment Situation |
April jobs were softer than expected but there were upward revisions and the unemployment rate dipped to 8.1% from 8.2% in March. |
8.1% |
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Employment |
Seasonality issues apparently are still at play. Payroll jobs in April increased only 115,000, following increases of 154,000 in March and 259,000 in February. |
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| WEEK 18-2012 ENDING MAY. 04 |
Reports Commentary
Factory orders fell in January in the typical pattern of declines in the first month of the quarter. Nevertheless, new orders have been on a rising trend since March 2009 although they remain below their pre-recession peak..
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 18 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
 |
RESISTANCE 1 |
1,394.25 |
0.67% |
0.58% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,387.25 |
0.16% |
0.02% |
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CLOSE APR 27 |
1,385.00 |
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OPEN APR 29 |
1,387.00 |
0.14% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,360.00 |
-1.81% |
-2.15% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,346.50 |
-2.78% |
-3.23% |
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