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Week 52 - 2012
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Week 52 -2012 | From Dec 24 to Dec 28, 2012
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
Market Holidays
 
Mkt
Time
Mon - Dec. 24
Tue - Dec. 25
Wed - Dec. 26
Thu - Dec. 27
Fri - Dec. 28
     
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Economic Data for Week 52-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
DATE DAY REPORT/CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 52-2012 LAST
Mon Non Reports for Our Global Vision There will be no Economic Reports released on Monday.
N/A
Chart View No Reports  
N/A
Tue Christmas There will be no U.S. Market Activity Today
N/A
Chart View U.S. Market Holidays  
N/A
Wed ICSC Goldman Index The ICSC Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index edged up 0.7% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis, rising for the second-straight week.
0.7%
Chart View Sales and Inventories In the final week of December in-store sales growth will likely be boosted by the calendar shift, which is why we are holding to our expectations for the month. On a year-on-year basis, the reading rose 3.2%.
Neutral View
Wed Johson Redbook Redbook: Sales Rise 2.4% in Week Ended Dec. 22. Redbook: U.S. Retail Sales Flat in First Four Weeks of Dec. Vs Nov.
2.4%
Y/Y
Chart View Sales and Inventories Retail sales soared 2.4% in the week ended December 22, after surging 2.4% in the prior week, according to the weekly retail sales report released by Johnson Redbook Wednesday
Neutral View
Wed S&P Case-Shiller Index The S&P/Case Shillercomposite index of 20 metropolitan areas gained 0.7 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, stronger than the 0.5 percent rise forecast. It was a better-then-expected Case-Shiller home price index report.
N/A
Chart View Real Estate Prices in the 20 cities rose 4.3 percent year over year, beating expectations for a rise of 4.0 percent. Home prices are showing a "sustained recovery," increasing 4.3% over the past 12 months - the largest annual price gain since May 2010
Positive View
Thu Jobless/Initial Claims U.S. initial jobless claims drop by 12,000 to 350,000. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 350,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. The prior week's figure was revised to show 1,000 more applications than previously reported.
350K
Chart View Employment The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment aid fell last week to nearly its lowest level in 4 1/2 years, a possible sign that employers have picked up the pace of hiring.
Positive View
Thu New Home Sales New home sales hit 377,000 in November. Economists had expected new home sales to show a total of 378,000 annualized units.
372K
Chart View Real Estate New home sales rose to 377,000 in November, mostly in line with expectations for 378,000. The new home market showed strength in November with sales up 4.4% to an annual rate of 377,000.�
Positive View
Tue Consumer Confidence Also, consumer confidence plunged to 65.1. analysts expected the index to show a reading of 70 versus the 73.7 reported in November.
372K
Chart View Consumer consumer confidence tumbled to 65.1 in December, according to the Conference Board, disappointing analysts who had expected a reading of 70.
Negative View
Thu EIA Crude Oil Report  
-76 bcf
Chart View Commodity  
Thu Fed Balance Sheet  
-8.4B
Chart View Government  
Neutral View
Thu M2 Money Supply  
$-1.9B
Chart View Money Supply  
Neutral View
Fri Fixed Mortgage Rates  
3.91%
Chart View Interest Rates  
Positive View
Fri Chicago PMI    
Chart View Manufacturing    
Fri Pending Home Sales Index    
Chart View Real Estate    
Fri EIA Natural Gas Report    
Chart View Commodity    
     
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WEEK 52-2012
ECONOMIC REPORTS Positive View Negative View Neutral View RATING REPORTS HIGHLIGHTS OF WEEK 52-2012
01. Interest Rates
Non Available
 
02. Growth
Non Available
 
03. Inflation
Non Available
 
04. Employment
Non Available
Jobless claims fall, could signal pickup in hiring
05. Real Estate
Non Available
Home prices decline in October, Case-Shiller says
06. Manufacturing
Non Available
 
07. Consumer
Non Available
 
08. Sales & Inventories
Non Available
 
09. Business Activity
Non Available
 
10. Government
Non Available
 
11. Balance of Payments
Non Available
 
12. Money Supply
Non Available
 
13. Banking System
Non Available
 
REPORTS WEEK 52-2012
0
0
0
Non Available
 
MARKET CORRELATION Positive View Negative View Neutral View RATING MKT CORRELATION HIGHLIGHTS OF WEEK 52 -2012
01. Commodities
Non Available
Oil and Natural Gas: Rising commodity prices arouses fears of inflation.
02. Bond Market
Non Available
If interest rates rise, bond funds will go down.
03. S&P 500 Index
Non Available
Raising interest rates to combat inflation might stop economic expansion.
04. U.S. Dollar and FX
Non Available
If Economy starts to improve the dollar will strengthen and Gold will fall.
05. Major Economies
Non Available
Bond and stock prices are both influenced by Major Economies like China.
TOTAL WEEK 52-2012
0
0
0
Non Available
Week 52, 2012 has been rated...
   
         
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LEGENDS: Rating Explained Rating Explained Chart View Chart View Positive View Positive View Negative View Negative View Neutral View Neutral View N/A Non Available
         
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WEEK 52-2012 ENDING DEC. 28
Reports Commentary

Redbook said the week was uneven as it began on a soft note before firming into the weekend. Some retailers attributed the slow start to Christmas falling two days later than last year.

Single-family home prices rose in October for nine months in a row, reinforcing the view the domestic real estate market is improving and should bolster the economy in 2013, a closely watched survey showed on Wednesday.

Home Prices Post Gains as Recovery Keeps Pace. U.S. single-family home prices rose in October, reinforcing the view the domestic real estate market is improving and should bolster the economy in 2013, a closely watched survey showed on Wednesday. Looking over this report, and considering other data on housing starts and sales, it is clear that the housing recovery is gathering strength.

The 2012 holiday season may have been the worst for retailers since the 2008 financial crisis, with sales growth far below expectations, forcing many to offer massive post-Christmas discounts in hopes of shedding excess inventory.

Shares of retailers dropped sharply on Wednesday, helping drag broader indexes lower, as investors realized they were likely to be disappointed when companies start to report results in a few weeks' time.

A variety of factors were thought to be at fault for the weak season, starting with Superstorm Sandy, which depressed sales in the U.S. Northeast in late October and early November.

One bright spot has been online sales, which continue to grow at a faster pace.

On Christmas Day, online sales jumped 22.4 percent, outpacing the 16.4 percent increase in 2011, according to IBM Digital Analytics Benchmark, which tracks more than 1 million e-commerce transactions a day from 500 U.S. retailers.

Housing contributed 10 percent to the overall U.S. economic growth in the third quarter, while the sector represented less than 3 percent of gross domestic product, he said.

Last week, the government said U.S. GDP expanded at a stronger-than-expected 3.1 percent annualized pace in the third quarter.

Government borrowing will hit the debt ceiling on Monday. As a result, the Treasury Department will soon start using what it calls "extraordinary measures" to prevent government borrowing from exceeding the legal limit.

On Monday, debt subject to the limit was just $95 billion below the $16.394 trillion debt ceiling.

All told, the extraordinary measures can create about $200 billion of headroom under the limit -- normally about two months worth of borrowing.

But it's unclear how much time the extraordinary measures can buy now because there are so many unanswered questions about tax and spending policies.

If left unresolved, the expiring tax provisions and automatic spending cuts, as well as the attendant delays in filing of tax returns, would have the effect of adding some additional time to the duration of the extraordinary measures.

After the extraordinary measures run out, Treasury won't be able to pay all the country's bills in full and on time. At that point, the United States will run the very real risk that it could default on some of its obligations.

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment aid fell last week to nearly its lowest level in 4 1/2 years, a sign that the labor market is healing.

 

       
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S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES (ES)
MARKET PROFILE WEEK 52-2012 ENDING DEC 28
     
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MARKET PROFILE
Levels WEEKS 2012 WEEK 31 % FROM CLOSE % FROM OPEN
RESISTANCE 1
RESISTANCE 2
CLOSE MAR 02
OPEN MAR 04
SUPPORT 1
SUPPORT 2
         
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