Sales cooled off in the second week as consumer appetite for clearance bargains became partially satiated and year-end clearance dominated sales activity. As a result, for the week ending January 14, 2012, weekly retail sales rose by 0.1%.

U.S. Producer Price Index Unexpectedly Falls in December: Lower Inflationary Pressure on Production Line. Outlook of U.S. inflation is pretty good� and �commodity prices are no longer trending higher�

Builder confidence has now risen four months in a row, with the latest uptick being universally represented across every index component and region.

Inflation appears to be peaking after rising steeply last year. Prices rose 3% in 2011, up from a 1.5% pace in 2010 and the most since 2007.

Four years after housing helped spark the last recession, falling home prices and ongoing foreclosures are hampering an industry-wide recovery.

Jobless claims, which tend to be volatile week to week around holidays, have trended down over the past month, a sign employment may pick up after payrolls grew by 200,000 in December. Jobless Claims in U.S. Fall to Lowest Since 2008.

Mortgage rates were nearly unchanged this holiday week in lieu of a mixed bag of economic data reports and the Fed's asset holdings in the week ended Jan. 18 climbed to $2.922 trillion, from $2.902 trillion a week earlier.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's balance sheet rose over the last week as the central bank continued with its plan to extend maturities and support economic growth.

Concern over Chinese economic growth after the Jan HSBC flash China manufacturing PMI rose +0.1 to 48.4 and shows China's manufacturing activity may have contracted for a third month.

Red Flag: Smaller-than-expected increase in Dec existing home sales (+5.0% to 4.61 million versus expectations of +5.2% to 4.65 million).

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