10-Year Treasury Yield
U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly Tuesday after the latest jobs report showed a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield moved more than 2 basis points lower to 4.161%. The 2-year Treasury yield also fell more than 2 basis points to 3.483%. The 30-year Treasury bond yield dropped more than a basis point to 4.838%.
Empire State Mfg Index
US December Empire Fed manufacturing index -3.9 vs +10.0 expected. New York area manufacturing survey from the NY Fed. The Empire State Manufacturing Index slipped to -3.9, into contraction territory, in December from 18.7 in November, and missed the 10.0 consensus in November, according to data released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday. New orders held steady, while shipments dropped modestly.
Housing Market Index
US December NAHB housing market index 39 vs 39 expected. The market is getting a sense of where Fed rates will bottom and it looks like US 30-year yields will finish the year where they started. In short, there is no help coming for the US housing market.
US Dollar Index
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades on a negative note near 98.25 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The DXY edges lower as traders await the release of a slew of US economic data, including the delayed November US jobs report.
Housing Starts
Housing Starts Nov.2025: Delayed due to the government shut down,Delay.
Building Permits
Housing Starts Nov.2025: Delayed due to the government shut down,Delay.
Retail Sales Retail sales unchanged in October hurt in part by a decline in auto sales. Sales at U.S. retailers and restaurants were unchanged in October from September as consumers moderated their spending amid worries about higher prices and other economic uncertainties after splurging over the summer. But a big factor dragging down the figure was a 1.6% drop in sales at motor vehicles and auto parts dealerships, hurt by the expiration of federal government subsidies that sliced demand for battery-powered electric cars. Excluding that category, retail sales rose 0.4%, the Commerce Department said Tuesday in a report delayed more than a month because of the 43-day government shutdown.
Payroll The employment situation in the U.S. for November 2025 shows a mixed picture of job growth and unemployment. The nonfarm payrolls rose by 64,000, but the unemployment rate increased to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021. The rise in the unemployment rate is attributed to a more encompassing measure that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons, which swelled to 8.7%. The job growth in November was concentrated in health care and construction, while large-scale government layoffs and rising involuntary part-time employment signal increasing slack and reduced domestic momentum. The labor market is slowly cooling, with the average for the four months ending in September being just 40,000 jobs a month, compared to 170,000 jobs in 2024. The underlying rate of labor force growth is now likely in the range of 30,000 to 60,000.
Unemployment Rate
The unemployment rate in the United States for November 2025 is 4.6%, which is the highest level since September 2021. This increase reflects ongoing challenges in the labor market, including job growth and the number of unemployed individuals.
PMI Mfg Flash
The Flash Manufacturing PMI is an early estimate of a country's manufacturing sector's health, based on approximately 85% to 90% of total PMI survey responses each month. It provides insights into economic activity, with readings above 50 indicating expansion and below 50 indicating contraction. The latest data for December shows a slight decline in the Flash Manufacturing PMI, with a reading of 51.8, compared to an estimate of 52.0. This index is crucial for investors and policymakers as it serves as a leading indicator of economic trends and can significantly influence market movements.
Business Inventories
The latest news on US business inventories indicates a 0.2% increase, surpassing forecasts and previous figures. This rise suggests a potential lack of consumer demand, which is generally viewed as bearish for the US Dollar (USD). The increase in inventories could indicate a slowing down in consumer spending, a key driver of the US economy. However, it's important to interpret this data within the broader context of the US economic landscape.
Crypto World Bitcoin
British regulator kicks off consultation on new crypto rules British regulator the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) launched a wide-ranging consultation on a range of proposed rules for the crypto industry on Tuesday, a day after the government said the industry would be regulated from October 2027.
MBA Mortage Applicatiosn
mmmmm
ADP Employment Report
mmmmm
Factory Orders
mmmmm
EIA Crude Oil Report
mmmmm
Hedging Gold
mmmmm
Jobless Initial Claims
mmmmm
US Trade Balance
mmmmm
PMI Sedrvices Final
mmmmm
ISM Services Index
mmmmm
Fed Balance Sheet
mmmmm
Morttage Rates
mmmmm
Non Farm Payroll
mmmmm
|
