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Week 45 - 2025 | From Nov. 03 to Nov. 07, 2025 |
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| Week 45 - 2025 | From Nov. 03 to Nov. 07, 2025 |
10-Year Treasury Yield
The 10-year Treasury yield was relatively unchanged on Monday as the U.S. government shutdown entered its fourth week, putting it on track to become the longest running yet. The benchmark yield rose less than 2 basis points to 4.118%. The 2-year Treasury note yield gained less than 1 basis point to 3.609%. The 30-year bond yield was more than 3 basis points higher at 4.70%.
PMI Mfg Final
The performance of the US manufacturing economy improved again in October, with both output and new orders rising at stronger rates. However, growth was domestic led as new exports fell due to tariffs reportedly negatively impacting international trade. The headline index from the report, the seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI®), recorded 52.5 in October, compared to 52.0 in September.
ISM Mfg Index
The Institute for Supply Management reported that the ISM manufacturing index for October came in below expectations at 48.7%. That missed the Dow Jones forecast for 49.3% and marked a decrease of 0.4 percentage point from September. US factory activity shrank in October for an eighth straight month, driven by a pullback in production and tepid demand. The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index eased 0.4 point to 48.7, according to data released Monday. Readings below 50 indicate contraction, and the measure has been stuck in a narrow range for most of this year. Economists and policymakers are relying more on private reports such as the ISM survey for clues on the economy and job market in the absence of official data because of the US government shutdown. Friday’s scheduled employment report is also poised to be delayed as a result.
Construction Spending
Delayed. The federal government has suspended all data compilation during the shutdown. The U.S. government shutdown entered its fourth week.
US Dollar Index
The dollar edged up to a three-month high against the euro on Monday, extending its gains from last week on doubts about the outlook for another Fed rate cut this year. mThe Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points last week, as expected, but Chair Jerome Powell signalled that may be the last cut this year, citing the risk of making additional moves without a more robust picture of the economy.
US Trade Balance
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Factory Orders
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JOLTS mmmmm
Crypto World Bitcoin
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MBA Mortage Applicatiosn
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ADP Employment Report
Private payrolls rose 42,000 in October, more than expected and countering labor market fears.Private companies added 42,000 jobs in October, following a decline of 29,000 in September and topping the Dow Jones consensus estimate for a gain of 22,000. All of the job creation came from companies employing at least 250 workers. That category added 76,000 jobs, while smaller businesses lost 34,000.
The ADP count comes out the first Wednesday of the month and usually takes a back seat to the official nonfarm payrolls report, which won’t be released because of the government shutdown.
PMI Services Final
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ISM Services Index
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EIA Crude Oil Report
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Hedging Gold
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Jobless Initial Claims
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Productivity and Costs
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Wholesale Inventories Pre
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Fed Balance Sheet
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Mortgage Rates
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Non Farm Payroll
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Unemplyment Rate
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Consumer Sentiment
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