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Week 48 -2023 | From Nov. 27 to Dec. 1, 2023
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  10-Year Treasury Yield 3.709% Negative View   MBA Purchase Applications Positive View   Fixed Mortgage Rates 6.77% Negative View
           
           
      Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Neutral View Jobless Initial Claims Neutral View  
Geopolitical Factors   Intal Trade - Goods Neutral View
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          Chicago PMI Neutral View PMI Mfg Final Neutral View
  New Home Sales Neutral View Consumer Confidence Neutral View   Pending Home Sales Neutral View Construction Spending Neutral View
          ISM Mfg Index Neutral View
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        Fed Balance Sheet Neutral View  
           
           
           
           
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Week 48-2023 | Rating

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Week 48-2023 | Chart

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Week 48 -2023 | From Nov. 27 to Dec. 1, 2023
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Week 48-2023 | News

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Week 48 -2023 | From Nov. 27 to Dec. 1, 2023

10-Year Treasury Yield

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ISM Manufacturing Index

The survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Friday followed on the heels of data on Thursday showing moderate growth in consumer spending and subsiding inflation in October. Economic activity is cooling as higher interest rates crimp demand. Most economists, however, do not expect a recession next year and believe the Federal Reserve will be able to engineer the hoped-for "soft landing.". The ISM said that its manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 last month. It was the 13th consecutive month that the PMI stayed below 50, which indicates contraction in manufacturing. That is the longest such stretch since the period from August 2000 to January 2002.

Beige Book

Fed’s Beige Book sees slowing activity, easing price increases Economic activity has slowed broadly over the past six weeks, while labor demand also has backed off and price increases have eased, the Federal Reserve reported Wednesday in its periodic “Beige Book” summary. The report showed that consumers showed more “price sensitivity.” In the jobs market, firms reported an easier time finding labor and were more comfortable laying off underperformers. On inflation, the report said prices for construction materials declined, though utilities and insurance costs rose. In general, the report saw businesses saying they see “moderate” price increase continuing into 2024.

 

 

MBA Purchase Applications

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Jobless Claims

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Real GDP

U.S. GDP grew at a 5.2% rate in the third quarter, even stronger than first indicated. The U.S. economy grew at an even stronger pace then previously indicated in the third quarter, the product of better-than-expected business investment and stronger government spending, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Gross domestic product, a measure of all goods and services produced during the three-month period, accelerated at a 5.2% annualized pace, the department’s second estimate showed. The acceleration topped the initial 4.9% reading and was better than the 5% forecast from economists polled by Dow Jones.

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Mortgage Rates

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