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Week 44 -2023 | From Oct. 30 to Nov. 3, 2023
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  10-Year Treasury Yield 3.709% Negative View   MBA Purchase Applications Positive View   Fixed Mortgage Rates 6.77% Negative View
           
      ADP Employment Rpt Neutral View    
    ECI   Jobless Initial Claims Neutral View
   
     
     
       
    Chicago PMI Neutral View ISM Mfg Index Neutral View   PMI Composite Final Neutral View
      PMI Mfg Final Neutral View   ISM Non-Mfg Index Neutral View
    Consumer Confidence Neutral View Construction Spending Neutral View Factory Orders Neutral View  
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      FOMC Meeting #7 Announce Neutral View    
           
           
           
         
         
           
        Fed Balance Sheet Neutral View  
           
           
           
           
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Week 44-2023 | Rating

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Week 44-2023 | Chart

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Week 44 -2023 | From Oct. 30 to Nov. 3, 2023
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Week 44-2023 | News

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Week 44 -2023 | From Oct. 30 to Nov. 3, 2023

10-Year Treasury Yield

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ISM Manufacturing Index

U.S. manufacturing sector slumps in October-ISM. U.S. manufacturing contracted sharply in October after showing signs of improvement in prior months as new orders and employment slumped, likely reflecting strikes by the United Auto Workers (UAW) union against Detroit's Big Three car makers. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Wednesday that its manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.7 last month October from 49.0 in September, which was the highest reading since November 2022. It was the 12th consecutive month that the PMI remained below 50, which indicates contraction in manufacturing. That is the longest such stretch since the 2007-2009 Great Recession.

FOMC

Fed holds rates steady, upgrades assessment of economic growth. The Federal Reserve’s rating-setting group on Wednesday unanimously agreed to hold the key federal funds rate in a target range between 5.25%-5.5%, where it has been since July. This was the second consecutive meeting that the Federal Open Market Committee chose to hold, following a string of 11 rate hikes, including four in 2023. The decision included an upgrade to the committee’s general assessment of the economy.

 

 

MBA Purchase Applications

The S&P Global US Composite PMI was revised slightly lower to 50.7 in October 2023, down from the preliminary estimate of 51.0 and compared with 50.2 in the previous two months. The latest reading indicated a marginal rise in business activity at private sector firms, as manufacturers and service providers experienced a quicker rise in output, despite fragile demand conditions. New orders and exports continued to decline, while employment levels grew, driven by the service sector. On the price front, the rates of input and output cost inflation slowed to a three-year low.

 

 

 

Jobless Claims

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PMI Composite Final

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Productivity and Costs

US Productivity Rises, Unit Labor Costs Decrease. Productivity, or nonfarm business employee output per hour, rose at a 4.7% annualized rate in the third quarter after climbing 3.6% in the prior period.US labor productivity advanced by the most in three years, helping to alleviate the inflationary impact of recent wage growth. Productivity, or nonfarm business employee output per hour, rose at a 4.7% annualized rate in the third quarter after climbing 3.6% in the prior period, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed Thursday.

Employment

Job openings nudged down in November, down to lowest in more than two years. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed employment listings nudged lower to 8.79 million, about in line with the Dow Jones estimate for 8.8 million and the lowest level since March 2021. The ratio of job openings to available workers fell to 1.4 to 1, still elevated but down sharply from the 2 to 1 level that had been prevalent in 2022. Also, the ISM manufacturing report for December registered a reading of 47.4, slightly better than expectations but still in contraction.

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U.S. lemmmmm

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Mortgage Rates

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