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Week 36 -2023 | From Sep. 4 to Sep. 8, 2023
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  10-Year Treasury Yield 3.709% Negative View   MBA Purchase Applications Positive View   Fixed Mortgage Rates 6.77% Negative View
           
           
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Labor Day: Markets Closed      
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      Beige Book Neutral View    
           
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Week 36-2023 | Rating

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Week 36-2023 | Chart

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Week 36 -2023 | From Sep. 4 to Sep. 8, 2023
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Week 36-2023 | News

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Week 36 -2023 | From Sep. 4 to Sep. 8, 2023

10-Year Treasury Yield

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Beige Book

Contacts from most Districts indicated economic growth was modest during July and August. Consumer spending on tourism was stronger than expected, surging during what most contacts considered the last stage of pent-up demand for leisure travel from the pandemic era. But other retail spending continued to slow, especially on non-essential items. Job growth was subdued across the nation. Though hiring slowed.

 

 

MBA Purchase Applications

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Jobless Claims

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Productivty and Costs

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Unit Labor Cost (ULC) rose 2.2% during the second quarter, a revision from the previous estimate of 1.6%. ULC rose 3.3% during the first quarter (revised from 4.2%). Nonfarm Productivity increased 3.5%, below the 3.8% of market consensus, and revised from the 3.7% of the preliminary estimate.

PMI Composite Final

The S&P Global US Composite PMI was revised slightly lower to 50.2 in August 2023, down from the preliminary estimate of 50.4 and the previous month's reading of 52.0. This latest figure indicates the slowest rate of business activity increase in US private sector firms since February, due to a weaker expansion in the service sector and a renewed decline in manufacturing output. While there was a marginal decrease in total new business, it marked the first decline since February. Furthermore, new export orders returned to contraction, driven by declining demand for goods, despite increased spending on services. The rate of job creation reached its lowest point since October 2022, reflecting ongoing evidence of spare capacity and a sharper decline in backlogs of work. Regarding prices, cost pressures intensified, but the rate of output charge inflation eased.

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Mortgage Rates

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