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Week 03 - 2014
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Week 03 -2014 | From Jan. 13, 2014 to Jan. 17, 2014
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Market Holidays
 
Mkt
Time
Mon - Jan. 13
Tue - Jan. 14
Wed - Jan. 15
Thu - Jan. 16
Fri - Jan. 17
      MBA Purchase Applications Positive View   Fixed Mortgage Rates Positive View
           
    ICSC-Goldman Index Negative View      
           
    Retail Sales Positive View Producer Price Index Neutral View Jobless/Initial Claims Positive View Housing Starts Negative View
    Imports and Exports Prices Neutral View Empire Estate Mfg Survey Positive View Consumer Price Index Positive View  
    Johnson Redbook Negative View      
        Treasury Intal Capital Negative View Industrial Production Positive View
         
    Business Inventories Positive View   Philadelphia Fed Survey Positive View Consumer Sentiment Negative View
          Housing Market Index Positive View  
      EIA Crude Oil Report Neutral View EIA Natural Gas Report Neutral View
         
           
           
           
           
           
  Treasury Budget Positive View   Beige Book Positive View    
           
           
           
         
        Fed Balance Sheet Neutral View  
        Money Supply Neutral View  
           
           
           
           
 
     
S&P 500 | E-mini Futures
Week 03-2014
WEEK 03-2014
       
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WEEK 03-2014
ECONOMIC REPORTS Positive View Negative View Neutral View RATING REPORTS HIGHLIGHTS OF WEEK 03-2014
01. Interest Rates
Non Available
 
02. Growth
Non Available
 
03. Inflation
2
Neutral View
 
04. Employment
Non Available
 
05. Real Estate
1
Non Available
 
06. Manufacturing
Non Available
 
07. Consumer
1
Non Available
 
08. Sales & Inventories
2
Non Available
 
09. Business Activity
Non Available
 
10. Government
1
Neutral View
 
11. Balance of Payments
1
Non Available
 
12. Money Supply
1
Neutral View
 
13. Banking System
Non Available
 
SUB-TOTAL REPORTS
5
4
Positive View
 
MARKET CORRELATION Positive View Negative View Neutral View RATING MKT CORRELATION HIGHLIGHTS OF WEEK 03 -2014
COMMODITY - Oil
1
Neutral View
Rising commodity prices arouses fears of inflation.
COMMODITY - Natural Gas
1
Neutral View
If interest rates rise, bond funds will go down.
ECONOMIES - Europe
Non Available
Raising interest rates to combat inflation might stop economic expansion.
ECONOMIES - China
Non Available
If Economy starts to improve the dollar will strengthen and Gold will fall.
TOTAL REPORTS
12
5
6
Positive View
Week 03, 2014 has been rated Positive.
     
         
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LEGENDS: Rating Explained Rating Explained Chart View Chart View Positive View Positive View Negative View Negative View Neutral View Neutral View N/A Non Available
         
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WEEK 03-2014 ENDING JAN. 17
Reports Commentary

Monday

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -1.09% suffered the worst one-day drop since Sep 20, shedding 179.11 points, or 1.1% to 16,257.94 by the close, falling for the fourth-straight session.

The S&P 500 index SPX -1.26% closed down 23.17 points, or 1.3% to 1,819.20, snapping its two-day winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite COMP -1.47% finished 61.36, or 1.5%, lower at 4,113.30. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw their worst one-day point and percentage drops since Nov 7.

Business Inventories

Inventory pressures held steady in November with business inventories up 0.4% vs a strong 0.8% rise in business sales, the strongest sales gain since May, that leaves the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged at 1.29.

Retail inventories, the second largest component of the report and the fresh data in today's report, likewise show no change with the stock-to-sales ratio steady at 1.43. Today's retail sales report for December showed strength, at least outside of autos, which points to steady inventory conditions for the business inventories report this time next month. 

PPI

December producer price index was up 0.4% as expected and was up 1.2% from December 2012. However, core PPI (excludes food and energy) was up a greater than anticipated 0.3% and 1.4% on the year. Analysts expected core prices to increase a monthly 0.1%. 

Beige Book

The so-called Beige Book showed steady manufacturing growth, rising consumer spending and improving real estate markets. Firms that provide non-fungible services, which experienced severe contractions in business during the recession, expect economic activity will continue improving at a moderate or strong pace.

A Federal Reserve survey shows economic growth remained healthy in most U.S. regions in late November and December, helped by gains in consumer spending and factory output.

What do the Economic Reports reveal about the state of the economy?

The government's declining deficit is a standout factor for the nation's economy, evidenced by a surplus -- not deficit -- in the month of December of $53.2 billion. Three months into the government's fiscal year, the deficit is down 41% from this time last year.

Treasury prices held lower on the day after a stronger-than-expected retail sales report. Data showed that sales at U.S. retailers rose by 0.2% in December, beating expectations of a 0.1% decline.

       
    To prepare for this week we have posted the following Blog:    
    Blog for Week 03 -2014    
         
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